Current forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light southerly winds overnight on September 12, with minimum temperatures expected near 14–16 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.9 °C. These conditions, combined with recent daytime highs in the mid-20s °C and no significant frontal passage, underpin the market’s strong 77.5% implied probability for a 13 °C low. Historical records show occasional dips to 9.5–12 °C under similar autumn setups, yet the absence of anomalous cooling or cloud cover keeps probabilities for 12 °C or below at secondary levels. Updated model runs and official station observations tonight will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Pechino il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Pechino il 12 settembre?
13°C 99.5%
10°C o inferiore 20%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
$1,490 Vol.
$1,490 Vol.
12 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Sì
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o superiore
No
13°C 99.5%
10°C o inferiore 20%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
$1,490 Vol.
$1,490 Vol.
12 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
No
11°C
$0 Vol.
No
12°C
$25 Vol.
No
13°C
$66 Vol.
Sì
14°C
$386 Vol.
No
15°C
$126 Vol.
No
16°C
$90 Vol.
No
17°C
$500 Vol.
No
18°C
$25 Vol.
No
19°C
$227 Vol.
No
20°C o superiore
$35 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light southerly winds overnight on September 12, with minimum temperatures expected near 14–16 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.9 °C. These conditions, combined with recent daytime highs in the mid-20s °C and no significant frontal passage, underpin the market’s strong 77.5% implied probability for a 13 °C low. Historical records show occasional dips to 9.5–12 °C under similar autumn setups, yet the absence of anomalous cooling or cloud cover keeps probabilities for 12 °C or below at secondary levels. Updated model runs and official station observations tonight will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,490Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light southerly winds overnight on September 12, with minimum temperatures expected near 14–16 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.9 °C. These conditions, combined with recent daytime highs in the mid-20s °C and no significant frontal passage, underpin the market’s strong 77.5% implied probability for a 13 °C low. Historical records show occasional dips to 9.5–12 °C under similar autumn setups, yet the absence of anomalous cooling or cloud cover keeps probabilities for 12 °C or below at secondary levels. Updated model runs and official station observations tonight will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,490Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecasts from global models such as GFS indicate Beijing will experience clear skies and light southerly winds overnight on September 12, with minimum temperatures expected near 14–16 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.9 °C. These conditions, combined with recent daytime highs in the mid-20s °C and no significant frontal passage, underpin the market’s strong 77.5% implied probability for a 13 °C low. Historical records show occasional dips to 9.5–12 °C under similar autumn setups, yet the absence of anomalous cooling or cloud cover keeps probabilities for 12 °C or below at secondary levels. Updated model runs and official station observations tonight will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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