**Persistent above-target inflation and elevated expectations are anchoring trader expectations for no change at Banco de la República’s October meeting.** Headline inflation rose to 6.24% year-over-year in August 2026, exceeding forecasts and remaining well above the 3% target, while end-2026 expectations sit near 6.6%. The central bank has held the policy rate at 12% since the July 31 decision following earlier hikes, citing a sufficiently restrictive stance, peso strength, and the need to assess lagged effects amid risks such as global conflicts and domestic wage pressures. With the September 30 meeting likely to maintain the status quo, market-implied odds of 76.5% for no October change reflect this high-for-longer consensus, tempered by data dependence and the possibility of modest adjustments if inflation moderates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessuna modifica 77%
Aumento di 25 punti base 12%
Riduzione di 25 punti base 7%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base 4.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ott 2026
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
7%
Nessuna modifica
77%
Aumento di 25 punti base
12%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
4%
Nessuna modifica 77%
Aumento di 25 punti base 12%
Riduzione di 25 punti base 7%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base 4.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ott 2026
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
$323 Vol.
1%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
$1,013 Vol.
7%
Nessuna modifica
$2,570 Vol.
77%
Aumento di 25 punti base
$584 Vol.
12%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
$906 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Persistent above-target inflation and elevated expectations are anchoring trader expectations for no change at Banco de la República’s October meeting.** Headline inflation rose to 6.24% year-over-year in August 2026, exceeding forecasts and remaining well above the 3% target, while end-2026 expectations sit near 6.6%. The central bank has held the policy rate at 12% since the July 31 decision following earlier hikes, citing a sufficiently restrictive stance, peso strength, and the need to assess lagged effects amid risks such as global conflicts and domestic wage pressures. With the September 30 meeting likely to maintain the status quo, market-implied odds of 76.5% for no October change reflect this high-for-longer consensus, tempered by data dependence and the possibility of modest adjustments if inflation moderates.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
Volume
$5,395Data di fine
30 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Persistent above-target inflation and elevated expectations are anchoring trader expectations for no change at Banco de la República’s October meeting.** Headline inflation rose to 6.24% year-over-year in August 2026, exceeding forecasts and remaining well above the 3% target, while end-2026 expectations sit near 6.6%. The central bank has held the policy rate at 12% since the July 31 decision following earlier hikes, citing a sufficiently restrictive stance, peso strength, and the need to assess lagged effects amid risks such as global conflicts and domestic wage pressures. With the September 30 meeting likely to maintain the status quo, market-implied odds of 76.5% for no October change reflect this high-for-longer consensus, tempered by data dependence and the possibility of modest adjustments if inflation moderates.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$5,395Data di fine
30 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent above-target inflation and elevated expectations are anchoring trader expectations for no change at Banco de la República’s October meeting.** Headline inflation rose to 6.24% year-over-year in August 2026, exceeding forecasts and remaining well above the 3% target, while end-2026 expectations sit near 6.6%. The central bank has held the policy rate at 12% since the July 31 decision following earlier hikes, citing a sufficiently restrictive stance, peso strength, and the need to assess lagged effects amid risks such as global conflicts and domestic wage pressures. With the September 30 meeting likely to maintain the status quo, market-implied odds of 76.5% for no October change reflect this high-for-longer consensus, tempered by data dependence and the possibility of modest adjustments if inflation moderates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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