**Market-implied odds for the Bank of Korea’s November policy decision show a near-even contest between a 25 basis point hike and no change, driven by persistent inflation above the 2% target alongside robust growth.** Following consecutive 25 bp increases in July and August that lifted the benchmark rate to 3.00%, the BOK’s dot plot points to a median endpoint near 3.25% by year-end, supported by upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3% from semiconductor-led strength. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s September hike widened the rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding pressure via currency and housing market concerns, yet minutes emphasize assessing lagged effects before further tightening. Traders weigh these factors against the risk of over-tightening in a closely balanced November outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAumento di 25 punti base 50%
Nessun cambiamento 42%
Aumento di 50+ punti base 4.5%
Taglio di 25 punti base <1%
$22,693 Vol.
$22,693 Vol.
25 nov 2026
Taglio di 50+ punti base
<1%
Taglio di 25 punti base
<1%
Nessun cambiamento
42%
Aumento di 25 punti base
50%
Aumento di 50+ punti base
4%
Aumento di 25 punti base 50%
Nessun cambiamento 42%
Aumento di 50+ punti base 4.5%
Taglio di 25 punti base <1%
$22,693 Vol.
$22,693 Vol.
25 nov 2026
Taglio di 50+ punti base
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
Taglio di 25 punti base
$701 Vol.
<1%
Nessun cambiamento
$11,653 Vol.
42%
Aumento di 25 punti base
$8,322 Vol.
50%
Aumento di 50+ punti base
$968 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Market-implied odds for the Bank of Korea’s November policy decision show a near-even contest between a 25 basis point hike and no change, driven by persistent inflation above the 2% target alongside robust growth.** Following consecutive 25 bp increases in July and August that lifted the benchmark rate to 3.00%, the BOK’s dot plot points to a median endpoint near 3.25% by year-end, supported by upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3% from semiconductor-led strength. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s September hike widened the rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding pressure via currency and housing market concerns, yet minutes emphasize assessing lagged effects before further tightening. Traders weigh these factors against the risk of over-tightening in a closely balanced November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$22,693Data di fine
26 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Market-implied odds for the Bank of Korea’s November policy decision show a near-even contest between a 25 basis point hike and no change, driven by persistent inflation above the 2% target alongside robust growth.** Following consecutive 25 bp increases in July and August that lifted the benchmark rate to 3.00%, the BOK’s dot plot points to a median endpoint near 3.25% by year-end, supported by upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3% from semiconductor-led strength. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s September hike widened the rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding pressure via currency and housing market concerns, yet minutes emphasize assessing lagged effects before further tightening. Traders weigh these factors against the risk of over-tightening in a closely balanced November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$22,693Data di fine
26 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds for the Bank of Korea’s November policy decision show a near-even contest between a 25 basis point hike and no change, driven by persistent inflation above the 2% target alongside robust growth.** Following consecutive 25 bp increases in July and August that lifted the benchmark rate to 3.00%, the BOK’s dot plot points to a median endpoint near 3.25% by year-end, supported by upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3% from semiconductor-led strength. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s September hike widened the rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding pressure via currency and housing market concerns, yet minutes emphasize assessing lagged effects before further tightening. Traders weigh these factors against the risk of over-tightening in a closely balanced November outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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