US gasoline prices remain elevated amid persistent supply constraints, with the national average at approximately $4.45 per gallon as of mid-September 2026 and the lowest state average (Indiana) near $3.92. Crude oil benchmarks have climbed above $100 per barrel due to ongoing Middle East disruptions, including reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and related geopolitical tensions, which have tightened global inventories and supported higher refining margins. Retail prices reflect these upstream pressures plus regional factors such as taxes, formulation requirements, and seasonal refinery maintenance. Recent weekly gains of 10–20 cents in multiple states underscore the momentum, with trader-implied odds for any state falling below the $3.75 threshold likely reflecting the distance from current levels and limited near-term catalysts for sharp declines absent major de-escalation or inventory builds. Key upcoming data include weekly EIA gasoline and crude inventory reports alongside FOMC communications that could influence broader risk sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
20 set 2026
20 settembre
5%
30 settembre
37%
31 ottobre
25%
$762 Vol.
20 settembre
$468 Vol.
5%
30 settembre
$60 Vol.
37%
31 ottobre
$234 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.US gasoline prices remain elevated amid persistent supply constraints, with the national average at approximately $4.45 per gallon as of mid-September 2026 and the lowest state average (Indiana) near $3.92. Crude oil benchmarks have climbed above $100 per barrel due to ongoing Middle East disruptions, including reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and related geopolitical tensions, which have tightened global inventories and supported higher refining margins. Retail prices reflect these upstream pressures plus regional factors such as taxes, formulation requirements, and seasonal refinery maintenance. Recent weekly gains of 10–20 cents in multiple states underscore the momentum, with trader-implied odds for any state falling below the $3.75 threshold likely reflecting the distance from current levels and limited near-term catalysts for sharp declines absent major de-escalation or inventory builds. Key upcoming data include weekly EIA gasoline and crude inventory reports alongside FOMC communications that could influence broader risk sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Volume
$762Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.US gasoline prices remain elevated amid persistent supply constraints, with the national average at approximately $4.45 per gallon as of mid-September 2026 and the lowest state average (Indiana) near $3.92. Crude oil benchmarks have climbed above $100 per barrel due to ongoing Middle East disruptions, including reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and related geopolitical tensions, which have tightened global inventories and supported higher refining margins. Retail prices reflect these upstream pressures plus regional factors such as taxes, formulation requirements, and seasonal refinery maintenance. Recent weekly gains of 10–20 cents in multiple states underscore the momentum, with trader-implied odds for any state falling below the $3.75 threshold likely reflecting the distance from current levels and limited near-term catalysts for sharp declines absent major de-escalation or inventory builds. Key upcoming data include weekly EIA gasoline and crude inventory reports alongside FOMC communications that could influence broader risk sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Volume
$762Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...US gasoline prices remain elevated amid persistent supply constraints, with the national average at approximately $4.45 per gallon as of mid-September 2026 and the lowest state average (Indiana) near $3.92. Crude oil benchmarks have climbed above $100 per barrel due to ongoing Middle East disruptions, including reduced flows through the Strait of Hormuz and related geopolitical tensions, which have tightened global inventories and supported higher refining margins. Retail prices reflect these upstream pressures plus regional factors such as taxes, formulation requirements, and seasonal refinery maintenance. Recent weekly gains of 10–20 cents in multiple states underscore the momentum, with trader-implied odds for any state falling below the $3.75 threshold likely reflecting the distance from current levels and limited near-term catalysts for sharp declines absent major de-escalation or inventory builds. Key upcoming data include weekly EIA gasoline and crude inventory reports alongside FOMC communications that could influence broader risk sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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