**Alan Rick (Republicanos) holds the strongest position in the Acre gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly 33-40% against Mailza Assis (PP) in the mid-20s to low-30s range.** As the current governor, Assis benefits from incumbency after assuming office in April 2026 when her predecessor resigned to run for Senate, yet recent surveys from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show Rick maintaining a clear edge in both first-round estimates and projected runoff matchups. Campaign activity has intensified in the final weeks, with Rick emphasizing local economic support for producers and merchants alongside health infrastructure proposals, while Assis focuses on internal coordination. The six registered candidates—also including Tião Bocalom (PSDB), Thor Dantas (PSB), Dr. Luisinho (AGIR), and Eudo Raffael (PCB)—face structural barriers, as minor-party and independent options have registered negligible support. Market pricing reflects this polling consensus and the compressed timeline to the first round, with limited scope for late shifts absent major events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAlan Rick 60%
Mailza Assis 40%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$37,247 Vol.
$37,247 Vol.

Alan Rick
60%

Mailza Assis
40%

Dr. Luisinho
<1%

Eudo Raffael
<1%

Thor Dantas
<1%

Tião Bocalom
<1%
Alan Rick 60%
Mailza Assis 40%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$37,247 Vol.
$37,247 Vol.

Alan Rick
60%

Mailza Assis
40%

Dr. Luisinho
<1%

Eudo Raffael
<1%

Thor Dantas
<1%

Tião Bocalom
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Alan Rick (Republicanos) holds the strongest position in the Acre gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly 33-40% against Mailza Assis (PP) in the mid-20s to low-30s range.** As the current governor, Assis benefits from incumbency after assuming office in April 2026 when her predecessor resigned to run for Senate, yet recent surveys from institutes including Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others show Rick maintaining a clear edge in both first-round estimates and projected runoff matchups. Campaign activity has intensified in the final weeks, with Rick emphasizing local economic support for producers and merchants alongside health infrastructure proposals, while Assis focuses on internal coordination. The six registered candidates—also including Tião Bocalom (PSDB), Thor Dantas (PSB), Dr. Luisinho (AGIR), and Eudo Raffael (PCB)—face structural barriers, as minor-party and independent options have registered negligible support. Market pricing reflects this polling consensus and the compressed timeline to the first round, with limited scope for late shifts absent major events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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