Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in historical vote shares exceeding 70 percent for the party in recent cycles, combined with her status as the long-serving incumbent. She secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68-70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices Clarke near 96 percent. A late shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment within the roughly seven weeks remaining before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$60,786 Vol.
$60,786 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Yvette Clarke (D)
96%
Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R)
<1%
$60,786 Vol.
$60,786 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Yvette Clarke (D)
$19,482 Vol.
96%
Joel Anabilah-Azumah (R)
$41,305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in historical vote shares exceeding 70 percent for the party in recent cycles, combined with her status as the long-serving incumbent. She secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68-70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices Clarke near 96 percent. A late shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment within the roughly seven weeks remaining before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$60,786End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in historical vote shares exceeding 70 percent for the party in recent cycles, combined with her status as the long-serving incumbent. She secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68-70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices Clarke near 96 percent. A late shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment within the roughly seven weeks remaining before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$60,786End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in historical vote shares exceeding 70 percent for the party in recent cycles, combined with her status as the long-serving incumbent. She secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68-70 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices Clarke near 96 percent. A late shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment within the roughly seven weeks remaining before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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