Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th congressional district due to his incumbency since 2013, unopposed Democratic primary, and the seat’s solid partisan lean with a D+24 Partisan Voter Index. The Brooklyn-based district has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, reinforced by voter registration patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders reflect this baseline through elevated implied probabilities for the minority leader, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings labeling the contest safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require a major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment altering turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-08 House Election Winner
NY-08 House Election Winner
$32,637 Vol.
$32,637 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Hakeem Jeffries (D)
96%
Lewis Mizrahi (R)
4%
$32,637 Vol.
$32,637 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Hakeem Jeffries (D)
$14,128 Vol.
96%
Lewis Mizrahi (R)
$18,510 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th congressional district due to his incumbency since 2013, unopposed Democratic primary, and the seat’s solid partisan lean with a D+24 Partisan Voter Index. The Brooklyn-based district has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, reinforced by voter registration patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders reflect this baseline through elevated implied probabilities for the minority leader, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings labeling the contest safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require a major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment altering turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$32,637End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th congressional district due to his incumbency since 2013, unopposed Democratic primary, and the seat’s solid partisan lean with a D+24 Partisan Voter Index. The Brooklyn-based district has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, reinforced by voter registration patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders reflect this baseline through elevated implied probabilities for the minority leader, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings labeling the contest safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require a major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment altering turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,637End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th congressional district due to his incumbency since 2013, unopposed Democratic primary, and the seat’s solid partisan lean with a D+24 Partisan Voter Index. The Brooklyn-based district has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, reinforced by voter registration patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders reflect this baseline through elevated implied probabilities for the minority leader, consistent with nonpartisan race ratings labeling the contest safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require a major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment altering turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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