Persistent above-target inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and core near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from Middle East energy risks, forms the core driver of elevated dissent expectations at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold decision, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, sets a precedent for continued committee divisions under Chair Warsh. A stable labor market with unemployment around 4.1% and mixed signals on disinflation keep the outcome data-dependent, with Governor Waller noting a potential shift toward tightening if August readings disappoint. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, as incoming employment and CPI data could determine whether three or more members break from the majority on the federal funds rate decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 31%
4+ 29%
1 14%
0 13%
$22,958 Vol.
$22,958 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
0
13%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4+
29%
3 31%
4+ 29%
1 14%
0 13%
$22,958 Vol.
$22,958 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
0
$17,603 Vol.
13%
1
$638 Vol.
14%
2
$659 Vol.
11%
3
$3,125 Vol.
31%
4+
$932 Vol.
29%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent above-target inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and core near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from Middle East energy risks, forms the core driver of elevated dissent expectations at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold decision, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, sets a precedent for continued committee divisions under Chair Warsh. A stable labor market with unemployment around 4.1% and mixed signals on disinflation keep the outcome data-dependent, with Governor Waller noting a potential shift toward tightening if August readings disappoint. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, as incoming employment and CPI data could determine whether three or more members break from the majority on the federal funds rate decision.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$22,958End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent above-target inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and core near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from Middle East energy risks, forms the core driver of elevated dissent expectations at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold decision, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, sets a precedent for continued committee divisions under Chair Warsh. A stable labor market with unemployment around 4.1% and mixed signals on disinflation keep the outcome data-dependent, with Governor Waller noting a potential shift toward tightening if August readings disappoint. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, as incoming employment and CPI data could determine whether three or more members break from the majority on the federal funds rate decision.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$22,958End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent above-target inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and core near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from Middle East energy risks, forms the core driver of elevated dissent expectations at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold decision, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, sets a precedent for continued committee divisions under Chair Warsh. A stable labor market with unemployment around 4.1% and mixed signals on disinflation keep the outcome data-dependent, with Governor Waller noting a potential shift toward tightening if August readings disappoint. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, as incoming employment and CPI data could determine whether three or more members break from the majority on the federal funds rate decision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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