Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?

180-199 19%

200-219 18%

160-179 15%

220-239 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$47,367 Vol.

180-199 19%

200-219 18%

160-179 15%

220-239 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$47,367 Vol.

<20

$719 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$167 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$202 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$5,726 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$6,669 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$1,350 Vol.

1%

120-139

$2,559 Vol.

4%

140-159

$543 Vol.

8%

160-179

$358 Vol.

15%

180-199

$555 Vol.

19%

200-219

$720 Vol.

18%

220-239

$584 Vol.

14%

240-259

$1,551 Vol.

10%

260-279

$1,482 Vol.

6%

280-299

$4,312 Vol.

4%

300-319

$2,489 Vol.

2%

320-339

$4,435 Vol.

1%

340-359

$2,341 Vol.

1%

360-379

$1,466 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$1,242 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$292 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$492 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$713 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$819 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$386 Vol.

<1%

500+

$5,196 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent volatility in Elon Musk’s X activity, with settled weekly totals swinging from under 40 to over 220 posts in recent periods, anchors trader expectations for the September 11-18 window around the 160-220 range. The tight clustering of the top four outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether a typical 25-30 posts-per-day rhythm will hold or shift due to reactions to the critical Alex Gibney documentary that premiered at Venice on September 8. Platform milestones, ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, and Musk’s pattern of engaging political or media topics can quickly push volume higher, while quieter stretches produce lower counts, leaving no single bin dominant.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$47,367
End Date
Sep 18, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent volatility in Elon Musk’s X activity, with settled weekly totals swinging from under 40 to over 220 posts in recent periods, anchors trader expectations for the September 11-18 window around the 160-220 range. The tight clustering of the top four outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether a typical 25-30 posts-per-day rhythm will hold or shift due to reactions to the critical Alex Gibney documentary that premiered at Venice on September 8. Platform milestones, ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, and Musk’s pattern of engaging political or media topics can quickly push volume higher, while quieter stretches produce lower counts, leaving no single bin dominant.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$47,367
End Date
Sep 18, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "180-199" at 19%, followed by "200-219" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?" has generated $47.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?" is "180-199" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "200-219" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.