China’s 2026 CPI inflation has remained subdued through August, with the latest year-on-year reading at 0.8 percent after July’s 0.5 percent dip, keeping the year-to-date average near 0.9 percent. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing property-sector adjustment, and food-price deflation—particularly in pork—continue to cap headline gains, while core inflation hovers around 1.0 percent. Elevated upstream producer prices driven by energy and commodity costs have shown only limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts for the full-year average cluster between 0.8 percent and 1.2 percent, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 0.6–1.0 percent band and supporting the secondary probability on 1.1–1.5 percent. No major policy stimulus or demand surge has materialized to alter this trajectory in recent months.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert0,6 – 1,0 % 54%
1,1 – 1,5 % 24%
0,1 – 0,5 % 18.9%
1,6 – 2,0 % 3.6%
$85,678 Vol.
$85,678 Vol.
9. Jan. 2027
<-1,0 %
1%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
1%
0,1 – 0,5 %
19%
0,6 – 1,0 %
54%
1,1 – 1,5 %
24%
1,6 – 2,0 %
4%
2,0-2,4 %
1%
2,5 %+
<1%
0,6 – 1,0 % 54%
1,1 – 1,5 % 24%
0,1 – 0,5 % 18.9%
1,6 – 2,0 % 3.6%
$85,678 Vol.
$85,678 Vol.
9. Jan. 2027
<-1,0 %
$20,282 Vol.
1%
-0,9 – -0,5 %
$3,634 Vol.
<1%
-0,4 – 0,0 %
$5,053 Vol.
1%
0,1 – 0,5 %
$6,943 Vol.
19%
0,6 – 1,0 %
$13,320 Vol.
54%
1,1 – 1,5 %
$16,713 Vol.
24%
1,6 – 2,0 %
$7,661 Vol.
4%
2,0-2,4 %
$8,422 Vol.
1%
2,5 %+
$3,651 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s 2026 CPI inflation has remained subdued through August, with the latest year-on-year reading at 0.8 percent after July’s 0.5 percent dip, keeping the year-to-date average near 0.9 percent. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing property-sector adjustment, and food-price deflation—particularly in pork—continue to cap headline gains, while core inflation hovers around 1.0 percent. Elevated upstream producer prices driven by energy and commodity costs have shown only limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts for the full-year average cluster between 0.8 percent and 1.2 percent, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 0.6–1.0 percent band and supporting the secondary probability on 1.1–1.5 percent. No major policy stimulus or demand surge has materialized to alter this trajectory in recent months.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Markt eröffnet: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volumen
$85,678Enddatum
10. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s 2026 CPI inflation has remained subdued through August, with the latest year-on-year reading at 0.8 percent after July’s 0.5 percent dip, keeping the year-to-date average near 0.9 percent. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing property-sector adjustment, and food-price deflation—particularly in pork—continue to cap headline gains, while core inflation hovers around 1.0 percent. Elevated upstream producer prices driven by energy and commodity costs have shown only limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts for the full-year average cluster between 0.8 percent and 1.2 percent, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 0.6–1.0 percent band and supporting the secondary probability on 1.1–1.5 percent. No major policy stimulus or demand surge has materialized to alter this trajectory in recent months.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volumen
$85,678Enddatum
10. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...China’s 2026 CPI inflation has remained subdued through August, with the latest year-on-year reading at 0.8 percent after July’s 0.5 percent dip, keeping the year-to-date average near 0.9 percent. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, ongoing property-sector adjustment, and food-price deflation—particularly in pork—continue to cap headline gains, while core inflation hovers around 1.0 percent. Elevated upstream producer prices driven by energy and commodity costs have shown only limited pass-through to consumers. Analyst forecasts for the full-year average cluster between 0.8 percent and 1.2 percent, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 0.6–1.0 percent band and supporting the secondary probability on 1.1–1.5 percent. No major policy stimulus or demand surge has materialized to alter this trajectory in recent months.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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