Higher global energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven the market-implied odds toward a 3.5–3.9% annual UK CPI inflation outcome for 2026, with that range holding the clearest plurality. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects CPI rising to 3.2% in 2026 Q4 from 2.6% in June, primarily via indirect effects on food and goods prices, while the IMF sees a peak above 3.5% by year-end. Recent July CPI at 2.9% and persistent upside risks to the BoE’s central case—tied to energy pass-through and potential second-round effects—support the clustering around 3–4%. Lower ranges reflect scenarios of quicker energy-price normalization or weaker demand, while outcomes above 4.5% would require more severe or prolonged shocks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJährliche Inflation Großbritanniens 2026
Jährliche Inflation Großbritanniens 2026
2,0–2,4 % 31.1%
3,5–3,9 % 27.4%
2,5–2,9 % 10.8%
4,5 %+ 8%
$87,846 Vol.
$87,846 Vol.
19. Jan. 2027
<1,0 %
<1%
1,0–1,4 %
2%
1,5–1,9 %
6%
2,0–2,4 %
31%
2,5–2,9 %
11%
3,0–3,4 %
-
3,5–3,9 %
27%
4,0-4,4 %
2%
4,5 %+
8%
2,0–2,4 % 31.1%
3,5–3,9 % 27.4%
2,5–2,9 % 10.8%
4,5 %+ 8%
$87,846 Vol.
$87,846 Vol.
19. Jan. 2027
<1,0 %
$945 Vol.
<1%
1,0–1,4 %
$1,260 Vol.
2%
1,5–1,9 %
$2,642 Vol.
6%
2,0–2,4 %
$5,508 Vol.
31%
2,5–2,9 %
$22,536 Vol.
11%
3,0–3,4 %
$0 Vol.
-
3,5–3,9 %
$37,535 Vol.
27%
4,0-4,4 %
$8,442 Vol.
2%
4,5 %+
$8,978 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarHigher global energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven the market-implied odds toward a 3.5–3.9% annual UK CPI inflation outcome for 2026, with that range holding the clearest plurality. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects CPI rising to 3.2% in 2026 Q4 from 2.6% in June, primarily via indirect effects on food and goods prices, while the IMF sees a peak above 3.5% by year-end. Recent July CPI at 2.9% and persistent upside risks to the BoE’s central case—tied to energy pass-through and potential second-round effects—support the clustering around 3–4%. Lower ranges reflect scenarios of quicker energy-price normalization or weaker demand, while outcomes above 4.5% would require more severe or prolonged shocks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Markt eröffnet: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$87,846Enddatum
20. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarHigher global energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven the market-implied odds toward a 3.5–3.9% annual UK CPI inflation outcome for 2026, with that range holding the clearest plurality. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects CPI rising to 3.2% in 2026 Q4 from 2.6% in June, primarily via indirect effects on food and goods prices, while the IMF sees a peak above 3.5% by year-end. Recent July CPI at 2.9% and persistent upside risks to the BoE’s central case—tied to energy pass-through and potential second-round effects—support the clustering around 3–4%. Lower ranges reflect scenarios of quicker energy-price normalization or weaker demand, while outcomes above 4.5% would require more severe or prolonged shocks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Volumen
$87,846Enddatum
20. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Higher global energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven the market-implied odds toward a 3.5–3.9% annual UK CPI inflation outcome for 2026, with that range holding the clearest plurality. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects CPI rising to 3.2% in 2026 Q4 from 2.6% in June, primarily via indirect effects on food and goods prices, while the IMF sees a peak above 3.5% by year-end. Recent July CPI at 2.9% and persistent upside risks to the BoE’s central case—tied to energy pass-through and potential second-round effects—support the clustering around 3–4%. Lower ranges reflect scenarios of quicker energy-price normalization or weaker demand, while outcomes above 4.5% would require more severe or prolonged shocks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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