Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP advance estimate from Statistics Canada showed essentially flat output, with gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a 0.3% June increase. This preliminary reading, released alongside stronger Q2 expenditure-based GDP of 0.8% quarterly, has anchored trader consensus around the 0.0–0.1% band amid elevated uncertainty ahead of the September 29 official release. Recent July trade data, showing a narrowed surplus as exports fell 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, alongside broader tariff-related headwinds, supports the elevated probability assigned to a flat or slightly negative print as markets price in the risk of downward revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert0,0 bis 0,1 % 56%
<0,0 % 40%
0,2 bis 0,3 % 2.5%
0,8 %+ <1%
$10,753 Vol.
$10,753 Vol.
<0,0 %
40%
0,0 bis 0,1 %
56%
0,2 bis 0,3 %
3%
0,4 bis 0,5 %
1%
0,6 bis 0,7 %
<1%
0,8 %+
1%
0,0 bis 0,1 % 56%
<0,0 % 40%
0,2 bis 0,3 % 2.5%
0,8 %+ <1%
$10,753 Vol.
$10,753 Vol.
<0,0 %
40%
0,0 bis 0,1 %
56%
0,2 bis 0,3 %
3%
0,4 bis 0,5 %
1%
0,6 bis 0,7 %
<1%
0,8 %+
1%
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP advance estimate from Statistics Canada showed essentially flat output, with gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a 0.3% June increase. This preliminary reading, released alongside stronger Q2 expenditure-based GDP of 0.8% quarterly, has anchored trader consensus around the 0.0–0.1% band amid elevated uncertainty ahead of the September 29 official release. Recent July trade data, showing a narrowed surplus as exports fell 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, alongside broader tariff-related headwinds, supports the elevated probability assigned to a flat or slightly negative print as markets price in the risk of downward revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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