Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations and firming October-November 2026 timeline are driving the 96.4% trader consensus that it will list ahead of OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 on June 1, ahead of OpenAI’s June 8 submission, and recent reports indicate late-September prospectus release, mid-October marketing, and a potential listing before U.S. midterms, supported by ongoing work on a large credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI has shifted toward a 2027 debut, with CFO Sarah Friar citing a preference for a $1 trillion valuation amid market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments. While this sequencing underpins current market-implied odds, realistic variables such as regulatory review delays, shifts in equity sentiment, or an accelerated OpenAI process could still alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
96% 概率
$338,517 交易量
$338,517 交易量
2027-12-30
Anthropic
96% 概率
$338,517 交易量
$338,517 交易量
2027-12-30
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations and firming October-November 2026 timeline are driving the 96.4% trader consensus that it will list ahead of OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 on June 1, ahead of OpenAI’s June 8 submission, and recent reports indicate late-September prospectus release, mid-October marketing, and a potential listing before U.S. midterms, supported by ongoing work on a large credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI has shifted toward a 2027 debut, with CFO Sarah Friar citing a preference for a $1 trillion valuation amid market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments. While this sequencing underpins current market-implied odds, realistic variables such as regulatory review delays, shifts in equity sentiment, or an accelerated OpenAI process could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$338,517结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations and firming October-November 2026 timeline are driving the 96.4% trader consensus that it will list ahead of OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 on June 1, ahead of OpenAI’s June 8 submission, and recent reports indicate late-September prospectus release, mid-October marketing, and a potential listing before U.S. midterms, supported by ongoing work on a large credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI has shifted toward a 2027 debut, with CFO Sarah Friar citing a preference for a $1 trillion valuation amid market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments. While this sequencing underpins current market-implied odds, realistic variables such as regulatory review delays, shifts in equity sentiment, or an accelerated OpenAI process could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$338,517结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETAnthropic’s advanced IPO preparations and firming October-November 2026 timeline are driving the 96.4% trader consensus that it will list ahead of OpenAI. The company confidentially filed its S-1 on June 1, ahead of OpenAI’s June 8 submission, and recent reports indicate late-September prospectus release, mid-October marketing, and a potential listing before U.S. midterms, supported by ongoing work on a large credit facility and major underwriters. OpenAI has shifted toward a 2027 debut, with CFO Sarah Friar citing a preference for a $1 trillion valuation amid market volatility and heavy infrastructure commitments. While this sequencing underpins current market-implied odds, realistic variables such as regulatory review delays, shifts in equity sentiment, or an accelerated OpenAI process could still alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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