Sylvia Garcia maintains a commanding lead in the TX-29 House race due to the district's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+17 and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2019, Garcia secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 58 percent of the vote despite mid-decade redistricting that altered demographics by increasing the share of Black voters. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed, but the seat's partisan baseline and Garcia's established fundraising and name recognition have produced the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented late-campaign event or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
西尔维娅·加西亚（民主党）
94%
玛莎·菲耶罗（共和党）
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
西尔维娅·加西亚（民主党）
$4,451 交易量
94%
玛莎·菲耶罗（共和党）
$5,372 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sylvia Garcia maintains a commanding lead in the TX-29 House race due to the district's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+17 and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2019, Garcia secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 58 percent of the vote despite mid-decade redistricting that altered demographics by increasing the share of Black voters. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed, but the seat's partisan baseline and Garcia's established fundraising and name recognition have produced the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented late-campaign event or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,823结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sylvia Garcia maintains a commanding lead in the TX-29 House race due to the district's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+17 and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2019, Garcia secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 58 percent of the vote despite mid-decade redistricting that altered demographics by increasing the share of Black voters. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed, but the seat's partisan baseline and Garcia's established fundraising and name recognition have produced the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented late-campaign event or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,823结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETSylvia Garcia maintains a commanding lead in the TX-29 House race due to the district's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+17 and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. As the incumbent since 2019, Garcia secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with 58 percent of the vote despite mid-decade redistricting that altered demographics by increasing the share of Black voters. Republican nominee Martha Fierro advanced unopposed, but the seat's partisan baseline and Garcia's established fundraising and name recognition have produced the current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented late-campaign event or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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