Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (43.5%) to a 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45, reflecting the early positioning of younger figures such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Jon Ossoff in nomination markets. These candidates, along with others like Pete Buttigieg in the mid-40s, benefit from party interest in generational turnover following consecutive older presidents. Mid-50s to mid-60s brackets trail closely, consistent with governors and senators such as Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro remaining active contenders with established national profiles. Older age ranges hold lower shares, aligning with limited speculation around figures near or above retirement age. Ongoing primary positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms continues to shape these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于45岁以下 36%
45-54 22%
55-64岁 17%
85岁及以上 5.3%
最新
最新
2028-08-30
45岁以下
44%
45-54
22%
55-64岁
23%
65-74岁
10%
75-84岁
5%
85岁及以上
5%
45岁以下 36%
45-54 22%
55-64岁 17%
85岁及以上 5.3%
最新
最新
2028-08-30
45岁以下
$1,024 交易量
44%
45-54
$571 交易量
22%
55-64岁
$247 交易量
23%
65-74岁
$143 交易量
10%
75-84岁
$135 交易量
5%
85岁及以上
$148 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (43.5%) to a 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45, reflecting the early positioning of younger figures such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Jon Ossoff in nomination markets. These candidates, along with others like Pete Buttigieg in the mid-40s, benefit from party interest in generational turnover following consecutive older presidents. Mid-50s to mid-60s brackets trail closely, consistent with governors and senators such as Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro remaining active contenders with established national profiles. Older age ranges hold lower shares, aligning with limited speculation around figures near or above retirement age. Ongoing primary positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms continues to shape these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
交易量
$2,268结束日期
2028-08-31市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (43.5%) to a 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45, reflecting the early positioning of younger figures such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Jon Ossoff in nomination markets. These candidates, along with others like Pete Buttigieg in the mid-40s, benefit from party interest in generational turnover following consecutive older presidents. Mid-50s to mid-60s brackets trail closely, consistent with governors and senators such as Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro remaining active contenders with established national profiles. Older age ranges hold lower shares, aligning with limited speculation around figures near or above retirement age. Ongoing primary positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms continues to shape these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
交易量
$2,268结束日期
2028-08-31市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETTrader consensus assigns the highest probability (43.5%) to a 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45, reflecting the early positioning of younger figures such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Jon Ossoff in nomination markets. These candidates, along with others like Pete Buttigieg in the mid-40s, benefit from party interest in generational turnover following consecutive older presidents. Mid-50s to mid-60s brackets trail closely, consistent with governors and senators such as Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro remaining active contenders with established national profiles. Older age ranges hold lower shares, aligning with limited speculation around figures near or above retirement age. Ongoing primary positioning ahead of the 2026 midterms continues to shape these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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