Frederick Haynes III holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic performance in Dallas County, its majority-minority demographics, and Haynes' decisive primary victory with roughly 73 percent of the vote. As the endorsed successor to outgoing Rep. Jasmine Crockett, the prominent Dallas pastor secured backing from labor groups, Justice Democrats, and local officials, while Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical margins and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,309 交易量
$48,309 交易量
2026-11-02
弗雷德里克·海恩斯三世（民主党）
96%
埃弗雷特·杰克逊（共和党）
3%
$48,309 交易量
$48,309 交易量
2026-11-02
弗雷德里克·海恩斯三世（民主党）
$5,583 交易量
96%
埃弗雷特·杰克逊（共和党）
$42,726 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic performance in Dallas County, its majority-minority demographics, and Haynes' decisive primary victory with roughly 73 percent of the vote. As the endorsed successor to outgoing Rep. Jasmine Crockett, the prominent Dallas pastor secured backing from labor groups, Justice Democrats, and local officials, while Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical margins and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$48,309结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Frederick Haynes III holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic performance in Dallas County, its majority-minority demographics, and Haynes' decisive primary victory with roughly 73 percent of the vote. As the endorsed successor to outgoing Rep. Jasmine Crockett, the prominent Dallas pastor secured backing from labor groups, Justice Democrats, and local officials, while Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical margins and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,309结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETFrederick Haynes III holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic performance in Dallas County, its majority-minority demographics, and Haynes' decisive primary victory with roughly 73 percent of the vote. As the endorsed successor to outgoing Rep. Jasmine Crockett, the prominent Dallas pastor secured backing from labor groups, Justice Democrats, and local officials, while Republican nominee Everett Jackson advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting historical margins and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make significant shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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