Incumbent Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, evidenced by prior presidential margins exceeding 19 points and a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Gill secured over 91 percent in his March 2026 primary while raising more than $4 million, far outpacing Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who prevailed narrowly in his primary and trails significantly in fundraising. These factors, combined with mid-decade redistricting that favors Republicans, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still influence the November 3 general election result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,695 交易量
$32,695 交易量
2026-11-02
布兰登·吉尔（共和党）
92%
史蒂文·舒克（民主党）
9%
$32,695 交易量
$32,695 交易量
2026-11-02
布兰登·吉尔（共和党）
$21,677 交易量
92%
史蒂文·舒克（民主党）
$11,018 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, evidenced by prior presidential margins exceeding 19 points and a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Gill secured over 91 percent in his March 2026 primary while raising more than $4 million, far outpacing Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who prevailed narrowly in his primary and trails significantly in fundraising. These factors, combined with mid-decade redistricting that favors Republicans, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still influence the November 3 general election result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,695结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, evidenced by prior presidential margins exceeding 19 points and a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Gill secured over 91 percent in his March 2026 primary while raising more than $4 million, far outpacing Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who prevailed narrowly in his primary and trails significantly in fundraising. These factors, combined with mid-decade redistricting that favors Republicans, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still influence the November 3 general election result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,695结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, evidenced by prior presidential margins exceeding 19 points and a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Gill secured over 91 percent in his March 2026 primary while raising more than $4 million, far outpacing Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who prevailed narrowly in his primary and trails significantly in fundraising. These factors, combined with mid-decade redistricting that favors Republicans, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in elevated probabilities for the Republican outcome. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected national shifts could still influence the November 3 general election result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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