Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race as the Democratic incumbent with deep roots in South Texas and name recognition across Webb and surrounding counties. Trump's December 2025 pardon resolved his prior federal bribery case, shifting race ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic at outlets like Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball despite 2025 redistricting that made the map more Republican-leaning. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Democrat serving as Webb County judge, secured his party's nomination and carries a Trump endorsement while emphasizing border security and economic issues, yet an August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showed Cuellar ahead by 11 points with significant undecided voters. Traders price Cuellar's incumbency edge, fundraising lead, and polling momentum as the dominant factors heading into November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,190 交易量
$10,190 交易量
2026-11-03
亨利·奎利亚尔（民主党）
84%
塔诺·蒂赫里纳（共和党）
15%
$10,190 交易量
$10,190 交易量
2026-11-03
亨利·奎利亚尔（民主党）
$4,629 交易量
84%
塔诺·蒂赫里纳（共和党）
$5,561 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race as the Democratic incumbent with deep roots in South Texas and name recognition across Webb and surrounding counties. Trump's December 2025 pardon resolved his prior federal bribery case, shifting race ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic at outlets like Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball despite 2025 redistricting that made the map more Republican-leaning. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Democrat serving as Webb County judge, secured his party's nomination and carries a Trump endorsement while emphasizing border security and economic issues, yet an August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showed Cuellar ahead by 11 points with significant undecided voters. Traders price Cuellar's incumbency edge, fundraising lead, and polling momentum as the dominant factors heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$10,190结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race as the Democratic incumbent with deep roots in South Texas and name recognition across Webb and surrounding counties. Trump's December 2025 pardon resolved his prior federal bribery case, shifting race ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic at outlets like Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball despite 2025 redistricting that made the map more Republican-leaning. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Democrat serving as Webb County judge, secured his party's nomination and carries a Trump endorsement while emphasizing border security and economic issues, yet an August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showed Cuellar ahead by 11 points with significant undecided voters. Traders price Cuellar's incumbency edge, fundraising lead, and polling momentum as the dominant factors heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,190结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETHenry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race as the Democratic incumbent with deep roots in South Texas and name recognition across Webb and surrounding counties. Trump's December 2025 pardon resolved his prior federal bribery case, shifting race ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic at outlets like Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball despite 2025 redistricting that made the map more Republican-leaning. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Democrat serving as Webb County judge, secured his party's nomination and carries a Trump endorsement while emphasizing border security and economic issues, yet an August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showed Cuellar ahead by 11 points with significant undecided voters. Traders price Cuellar's incumbency edge, fundraising lead, and polling momentum as the dominant factors heading into November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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