Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted in March 2026 and signed by Gov. Bob Ferguson, while barring future income taxes. Traders assign an 83% probability that the measure fails, reflecting recent polling showing repeal support at 38% against 57% opposition, plus the same sponsor group's prior ballot losses on related tax repeals. A Democratic-led coalition has mobilized against it, highlighting projected revenue losses for education and services, reinforced by required ballot language on funding impacts. The tax's delayed 2028 start date and legal challenges add uncertainty, but current campaign dynamics and historical patterns support the current trader consensus on rejection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
20% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
20% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted in March 2026 and signed by Gov. Bob Ferguson, while barring future income taxes. Traders assign an 83% probability that the measure fails, reflecting recent polling showing repeal support at 38% against 57% opposition, plus the same sponsor group's prior ballot losses on related tax repeals. A Democratic-led coalition has mobilized against it, highlighting projected revenue losses for education and services, reinforced by required ballot language on funding impacts. The tax's delayed 2028 start date and legal challenges add uncertainty, but current campaign dynamics and historical patterns support the current trader consensus on rejection.
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET
交易量
$166结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ETInitiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted in March 2026 and signed by Gov. Bob Ferguson, while barring future income taxes. Traders assign an 83% probability that the measure fails, reflecting recent polling showing repeal support at 38% against 57% opposition, plus the same sponsor group's prior ballot losses on related tax repeals. A Democratic-led coalition has mobilized against it, highlighting projected revenue losses for education and services, reinforced by required ballot language on funding impacts. The tax's delayed 2028 start date and legal challenges add uncertainty, but current campaign dynamics and historical patterns support the current trader consensus on rejection.
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
交易量
$166结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ETWashington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted in March 2026 and signed by Gov. Bob Ferguson, while barring future income taxes. Traders assign an 83% probability that the measure fails, reflecting recent polling showing repeal support at 38% against 57% opposition, plus the same sponsor group's prior ballot losses on related tax repeals. A Democratic-led coalition has mobilized against it, highlighting projected revenue losses for education and services, reinforced by required ballot language on funding impacts. The tax's delayed 2028 start date and legal challenges add uncertainty, but current campaign dynamics and historical patterns support the current trader consensus on rejection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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