**Recent polling and candidate developments have kept the contest for second place in Paraná's October 4 Senate election tightly contested among several contenders.** With Álvaro Dias withdrawing, surveys from late August and early September show Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) in technical ties or narrow leads for the second seat, reflecting vote fragmentation across center-right, conservative, and left-leaning blocs plus elevated undecided shares. The TRE-PR's 4-3 decision validating Dallagnol's registration on September 8, subject to potential TSE review, adds legal uncertainty that could shift positioning. Traders price Curi highest for second place amid these dynamics, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, and any last-minute court rulings before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于亚历山大·库里 34%
菲利佩·巴罗斯 22%
德尔坦·达拉尼奥 18%
格莱西 10.4%
$32,117 交易量
$32,117 交易量
2026-10-04
亚历山大·库里
34%
菲利佩·巴罗斯
22%
德尔坦·达拉尼奥
18%
格莱西
10%
克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔
4%
马塞洛·马塞利诺
<1%
罗辛哈医生
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
亚历山大·库里 34%
菲利佩·巴罗斯 22%
德尔坦·达拉尼奥 18%
格莱西 10.4%
$32,117 交易量
$32,117 交易量
2026-10-04
亚历山大·库里
$4,971 交易量
34%
菲利佩·巴罗斯
$10,942 交易量
22%
德尔坦·达拉尼奥
$7,329 交易量
18%
格莱西
$4,901 交易量
10%
克里斯蒂娜·雷斯·格雷姆尔
$1,523 交易量
4%
马塞洛·马塞利诺
$605 交易量
<1%
罗辛哈医生
$574 交易量
<1%
Joaquim do MLB
$712 交易量
<1%
Karen Guerreiro
$560 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling and candidate developments have kept the contest for second place in Paraná's October 4 Senate election tightly contested among several contenders.** With Álvaro Dias withdrawing, surveys from late August and early September show Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) in technical ties or narrow leads for the second seat, reflecting vote fragmentation across center-right, conservative, and left-leaning blocs plus elevated undecided shares. The TRE-PR's 4-3 decision validating Dallagnol's registration on September 8, subject to potential TSE review, adds legal uncertainty that could shift positioning. Traders price Curi highest for second place amid these dynamics, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, and any last-minute court rulings before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
交易量
$32,117结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling and candidate developments have kept the contest for second place in Paraná's October 4 Senate election tightly contested among several contenders.** With Álvaro Dias withdrawing, surveys from late August and early September show Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) in technical ties or narrow leads for the second seat, reflecting vote fragmentation across center-right, conservative, and left-leaning blocs plus elevated undecided shares. The TRE-PR's 4-3 decision validating Dallagnol's registration on September 8, subject to potential TSE review, adds legal uncertainty that could shift positioning. Traders price Curi highest for second place amid these dynamics, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, and any last-minute court rulings before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$32,117结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET**Recent polling and candidate developments have kept the contest for second place in Paraná's October 4 Senate election tightly contested among several contenders.** With Álvaro Dias withdrawing, surveys from late August and early September show Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) in technical ties or narrow leads for the second seat, reflecting vote fragmentation across center-right, conservative, and left-leaning blocs plus elevated undecided shares. The TRE-PR's 4-3 decision validating Dallagnol's registration on September 8, subject to potential TSE review, adds legal uncertainty that could shift positioning. Traders price Curi highest for second place amid these dynamics, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum, turnout patterns, and any last-minute court rulings before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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