Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing, after recent surveys showed him at 55–62% of first-round intentions against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) in the mid-to-high 20s and all other registered candidates below 2%. His position stems from strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, a decisive plurality in the June 2026 supplementary election, and backing from the PL and aligned groups. Sampaio, the current interim governor, remains the clearest alternative but trails consistently in head-to-head polling. The first-round vote on 4 October and any runoff on 25 October will resolve the outcome, with final judicial determinations on candidacies still possible before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿图尔·恩里克 94%
士兵桑帕约 3.5%
法拉·梅斯基塔 1.9%
罗西·艾雷斯 1.0%

阿图尔·恩里克
94%

士兵桑帕约
3%

法拉·梅斯基塔
2%

罗西·艾雷斯
1%

Clébio Genuíno
<1%
阿图尔·恩里克 94%
士兵桑帕约 3.5%
法拉·梅斯基塔 1.9%
罗西·艾雷斯 1.0%

阿图尔·恩里克
94%

士兵桑帕约
3%

法拉·梅斯基塔
2%

罗西·艾雷斯
1%

Clébio Genuíno
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing, after recent surveys showed him at 55–62% of first-round intentions against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) in the mid-to-high 20s and all other registered candidates below 2%. His position stems from strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, a decisive plurality in the June 2026 supplementary election, and backing from the PL and aligned groups. Sampaio, the current interim governor, remains the clearest alternative but trails consistently in head-to-head polling. The first-round vote on 4 October and any runoff on 25 October will resolve the outcome, with final judicial determinations on candidacies still possible before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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