Recent polling in Tocantins shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly clustered among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União), and Eli Borges (Republicanos). September surveys from Veritá and Paraná Pesquisas place these three within or near the margin of error for the runner-up position, with Guimarães and Gaguim often trading narrow edges around 22-25%. High undecided and non-response rates, combined with voters selecting two candidates, sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout among key voter blocs could widen or close gaps before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitive environment rather than any single decisive development.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于加古因 44.7%
亚历山大·吉马良斯 42%
爱德华多·戈麦斯 12.2%
奥斯瓦尼·卢兹 <1%
$35,301 交易量
$35,301 交易量
2026-10-04
加古因
45%
亚历山大·吉马良斯
42%
爱德华多·戈麦斯
15%
奥斯瓦尼·卢兹
1%
罗纳尔多·迪马斯
1%
埃利·博尔赫斯
1%
范德雷·卢森堡
1%
赫利奥·罗德里格斯·博索纳罗
<1%
保罗·莫朗
<1%
使徒弗拉维奥·布拉加
<1%
法比奥·里贝罗
<1%
尼尔顿·桑托斯
<1%
奥斯瓦尔多教授
<1%
加古因 44.7%
亚历山大·吉马良斯 42%
爱德华多·戈麦斯 12.2%
奥斯瓦尼·卢兹 <1%
$35,301 交易量
$35,301 交易量
2026-10-04
加古因
$8,957 交易量
45%
亚历山大·吉马良斯
$16,709 交易量
42%
爱德华多·戈麦斯
$1,490 交易量
15%
奥斯瓦尼·卢兹
$465 交易量
1%
罗纳尔多·迪马斯
$385 交易量
1%
埃利·博尔赫斯
$528 交易量
1%
范德雷·卢森堡
$437 交易量
1%
赫利奥·罗德里格斯·博索纳罗
$395 交易量
<1%
保罗·莫朗
$4,488 交易量
<1%
使徒弗拉维奥·布拉加
$391 交易量
<1%
法比奥·里贝罗
$345 交易量
<1%
尼尔顿·桑托斯
$392 交易量
<1%
奥斯瓦尔多教授
$319 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly clustered among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União), and Eli Borges (Republicanos). September surveys from Veritá and Paraná Pesquisas place these three within or near the margin of error for the runner-up position, with Guimarães and Gaguim often trading narrow edges around 22-25%. High undecided and non-response rates, combined with voters selecting two candidates, sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout among key voter blocs could widen or close gaps before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitive environment rather than any single decisive development.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
交易量
$35,301结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly clustered among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União), and Eli Borges (Republicanos). September surveys from Veritá and Paraná Pesquisas place these three within or near the margin of error for the runner-up position, with Guimarães and Gaguim often trading narrow edges around 22-25%. High undecided and non-response rates, combined with voters selecting two candidates, sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout among key voter blocs could widen or close gaps before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitive environment rather than any single decisive development.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$35,301结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETRecent polling in Tocantins shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly clustered among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Carlos Gaguim (União), and Eli Borges (Republicanos). September surveys from Veritá and Paraná Pesquisas place these three within or near the margin of error for the runner-up position, with Guimarães and Gaguim often trading narrow edges around 22-25%. High undecided and non-response rates, combined with voters selecting two candidates, sustain volatility in second-place positioning. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and turnout among key voter blocs could widen or close gaps before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitive environment rather than any single decisive development.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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