Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round election due to consistent polling advantages of 60-73% of valid votes and approval ratings near 72%, including strong ratings for his administration's performance in education expansion and state investments. His re-election bid benefits from broad coalition support formalized at party conventions, alignment with federal PT leadership, and fulfillment of key 2022 campaign commitments such as increasing full-time schools. The nearest challenger, Joel Rodrigues (PP), trails by 40+ points in recent surveys. Late developments including voter shifts, turnout changes among undecideds, or unforeseen events could still affect first-round outcomes, though current indicators point to a wide margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于拉斐尔·丰特莱斯 98.6%
埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔 <1%
赫拉尔多·卡瓦略 <1%
古斯塔沃·费若 <1%
$52,732 交易量
$52,732 交易量

拉斐尔·丰特莱斯
99%

埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔
<1%

赫拉尔多·卡瓦略
<1%

古斯塔沃·费若
<1%

乔埃尔·罗德里格斯
<1%

卢尔德斯·梅洛
<1%

吉斯瓦尔多教授
<1%

朱里蒂教授
<1%

Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%

圣地亚哥·贝利萨里奥
<1%

德拉·卢西亚·桑托斯
<1%
拉斐尔·丰特莱斯 98.6%
埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔 <1%
赫拉尔多·卡瓦略 <1%
古斯塔沃·费若 <1%
$52,732 交易量
$52,732 交易量

拉斐尔·丰特莱斯
99%

埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔
<1%

赫拉尔多·卡瓦略
<1%

古斯塔沃·费若
<1%

乔埃尔·罗德里格斯
<1%

卢尔德斯·梅洛
<1%

吉斯瓦尔多教授
<1%

朱里蒂教授
<1%

Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%

圣地亚哥·贝利萨里奥
<1%

德拉·卢西亚·桑托斯
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round election due to consistent polling advantages of 60-73% of valid votes and approval ratings near 72%, including strong ratings for his administration's performance in education expansion and state investments. His re-election bid benefits from broad coalition support formalized at party conventions, alignment with federal PT leadership, and fulfillment of key 2022 campaign commitments such as increasing full-time schools. The nearest challenger, Joel Rodrigues (PP), trails by 40+ points in recent surveys. Late developments including voter shifts, turnout changes among undecideds, or unforeseen events could still affect first-round outcomes, though current indicators point to a wide margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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