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icon for 皮奥伊州州长选举获胜者

皮奥伊州州长选举获胜者

icon for 皮奥伊州州长选举获胜者

皮奥伊州州长选举获胜者

拉斐尔·丰特莱斯 98.6%

埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔 <1%

赫拉尔多·卡瓦略 <1%

古斯塔沃·费若 <1%

Polymarket

$52,732 交易量

拉斐尔·丰特莱斯 98.6%

埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔 <1%

赫拉尔多·卡瓦略 <1%

古斯塔沃·费若 <1%

Polymarket

$52,732 交易量

icon for 拉斐尔·丰特莱斯

拉斐尔·丰特莱斯

$44,860 交易量

99%

icon for 埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔

埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔

$627 交易量

<1%

icon for 赫拉尔多·卡瓦略

赫拉尔多·卡瓦略

$651 交易量

<1%

icon for 古斯塔沃·费若

古斯塔沃·费若

$529 交易量

<1%

icon for 乔埃尔·罗德里格斯

乔埃尔·罗德里格斯

$516 交易量

<1%

icon for 卢尔德斯·梅洛

卢尔德斯·梅洛

$892 交易量

<1%

icon for 吉斯瓦尔多教授

吉斯瓦尔多教授

$772 交易量

<1%

icon for 朱里蒂教授

朱里蒂教授

$1,158 交易量

<1%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$1,025 交易量

<1%

icon for 圣地亚哥·贝利萨里奥

圣地亚哥·贝利萨里奥

$852 交易量

<1%

icon for 德拉·卢西亚·桑托斯

德拉·卢西亚·桑托斯

$852 交易量

<1%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round election due to consistent polling advantages of 60-73% of valid votes and approval ratings near 72%, including strong ratings for his administration's performance in education expansion and state investments. His re-election bid benefits from broad coalition support formalized at party conventions, alignment with federal PT leadership, and fulfillment of key 2022 campaign commitments such as increasing full-time schools. The nearest challenger, Joel Rodrigues (PP), trails by 40+ points in recent surveys. Late developments including voter shifts, turnout changes among undecideds, or unforeseen events could still affect first-round outcomes, though current indicators point to a wide margin.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$52,732
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round election due to consistent polling advantages of 60-73% of valid votes and approval ratings near 72%, including strong ratings for his administration's performance in education expansion and state investments. His re-election bid benefits from broad coalition support formalized at party conventions, alignment with federal PT leadership, and fulfillment of key 2022 campaign commitments such as increasing full-time schools. The nearest challenger, Joel Rodrigues (PP), trails by 40+ points in recent surveys. Late developments including voter shifts, turnout changes among undecideds, or unforeseen events could still affect first-round outcomes, though current indicators point to a wide margin.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$52,732
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

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常见问题

"皮奥伊州州长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"拉斐尔·丰特莱斯",概率为 99%,其次是"埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"皮奥伊州州长选举获胜者"已产生 $52.7K 的总交易量(自Aug 17, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"皮奥伊州州长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"皮奥伊州州长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"拉斐尔·丰特莱斯",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"埃利泽乌·阿吉亚尔",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"皮奥伊州州长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。