Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse Spark large language model family drives current trader sentiment, with version 1.3 launching September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code to deliver gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency, and multi-agent orchestration while using roughly 20-25% fewer tool calls and tokens than 1.2. This follows 1.1 in July and 1.2 in August, reflecting Meta Superintelligence Labs’ focus on multimodal reasoning, 1M-token context, and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic at unchanged pricing. CEO Mark Zuckerberg has highlighted “frontier performance” and teased a larger codenamed “Watermelon” model plus open-weights releases ahead, though no 1.4+ timeline or confirmation exists as of mid-September. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or API updates that could accelerate or delay the next qualifying release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,480 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
19%
10月31日
73%
$12,480 交易量
9月30日
$7,793 交易量
19%
10月31日
$4,687 交易量
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse Spark large language model family drives current trader sentiment, with version 1.3 launching September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code to deliver gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency, and multi-agent orchestration while using roughly 20-25% fewer tool calls and tokens than 1.2. This follows 1.1 in July and 1.2 in August, reflecting Meta Superintelligence Labs’ focus on multimodal reasoning, 1M-token context, and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic at unchanged pricing. CEO Mark Zuckerberg has highlighted “frontier performance” and teased a larger codenamed “Watermelon” model plus open-weights releases ahead, though no 1.4+ timeline or confirmation exists as of mid-September. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or API updates that could accelerate or delay the next qualifying release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
交易量
$12,480结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s rapid iteration on the Muse Spark large language model family drives current trader sentiment, with version 1.3 launching September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code to deliver gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency, and multi-agent orchestration while using roughly 20-25% fewer tool calls and tokens than 1.2. This follows 1.1 in July and 1.2 in August, reflecting Meta Superintelligence Labs’ focus on multimodal reasoning, 1M-token context, and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic at unchanged pricing. CEO Mark Zuckerberg has highlighted “frontier performance” and teased a larger codenamed “Watermelon” model plus open-weights releases ahead, though no 1.4+ timeline or confirmation exists as of mid-September. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or API updates that could accelerate or delay the next qualifying release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$12,480结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETMeta’s rapid iteration on the Muse Spark large language model family drives current trader sentiment, with version 1.3 launching September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code to deliver gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency, and multi-agent orchestration while using roughly 20-25% fewer tool calls and tokens than 1.2. This follows 1.1 in July and 1.2 in August, reflecting Meta Superintelligence Labs’ focus on multimodal reasoning, 1M-token context, and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic at unchanged pricing. CEO Mark Zuckerberg has highlighted “frontier performance” and teased a larger codenamed “Watermelon” model plus open-weights releases ahead, though no 1.4+ timeline or confirmation exists as of mid-September. Upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or API updates that could accelerate or delay the next qualifying release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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