Recent Reuters reporting has shifted trader focus toward an October 2026 Anthropic IPO, with the company now expected to file its public S-1 prospectus in late September and begin marketing shares in mid-October at the earliest. This timeline aligns with finalizing a $15 billion credit facility, ongoing SEC review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and discussions for Nvidia as a potential anchor investor in a deal that could target a $2 trillion valuation and raise up to $100 billion. Strong revenue momentum—run-rate exceeding $65 billion by late July—supports the compressed window ahead of U.S. midterms, though the schedule remains subject to market conditions and regulatory pacing. Market-implied odds reflect this momentum while pricing in a modest risk of slippage into November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年10月 60%
2026年11月 28.1%
2026 年 12 月 5.0%
2027年4月 1.6%
$201,071 交易量
$201,071 交易量
2027-12-31
2026年9月
<1%
2026年10月
60%
2026年11月
28%
2026 年 12 月
5%
2027年1月
<1%
2027年2月
1%
2027年3月
1%
2027年4月
2%
2027年5月
<1%
2027年6月
1%
2027 年 7 月
<1%
2027年8月
1%
2027年9月
1%
2027年10月
<1%
2027年11月
1%
2027 年 12 月
<1%
2028年前不上市
1%
2026年10月 60%
2026年11月 28.1%
2026 年 12 月 5.0%
2027年4月 1.6%
$201,071 交易量
$201,071 交易量
2027-12-31
2026年9月
$32,757 交易量
<1%
2026年10月
$50,630 交易量
60%
2026年11月
$18,483 交易量
28%
2026 年 12 月
$9,820 交易量
5%
2027年1月
$7,048 交易量
<1%
2027年2月
$6,444 交易量
1%
2027年3月
$6,835 交易量
1%
2027年4月
$6,529 交易量
2%
2027年5月
$6,467 交易量
<1%
2027年6月
$6,729 交易量
1%
2027 年 7 月
$6,203 交易量
<1%
2027年8月
$6,186 交易量
1%
2027年9月
$6,189 交易量
1%
2027年10月
$5,903 交易量
<1%
2027年11月
$6,141 交易量
1%
2027 年 12 月
$6,173 交易量
<1%
2028年前不上市
$12,535 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent Reuters reporting has shifted trader focus toward an October 2026 Anthropic IPO, with the company now expected to file its public S-1 prospectus in late September and begin marketing shares in mid-October at the earliest. This timeline aligns with finalizing a $15 billion credit facility, ongoing SEC review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and discussions for Nvidia as a potential anchor investor in a deal that could target a $2 trillion valuation and raise up to $100 billion. Strong revenue momentum—run-rate exceeding $65 billion by late July—supports the compressed window ahead of U.S. midterms, though the schedule remains subject to market conditions and regulatory pacing. Market-implied odds reflect this momentum while pricing in a modest risk of slippage into November.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
交易量
$201,071结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent Reuters reporting has shifted trader focus toward an October 2026 Anthropic IPO, with the company now expected to file its public S-1 prospectus in late September and begin marketing shares in mid-October at the earliest. This timeline aligns with finalizing a $15 billion credit facility, ongoing SEC review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and discussions for Nvidia as a potential anchor investor in a deal that could target a $2 trillion valuation and raise up to $100 billion. Strong revenue momentum—run-rate exceeding $65 billion by late July—supports the compressed window ahead of U.S. midterms, though the schedule remains subject to market conditions and regulatory pacing. Market-implied odds reflect this momentum while pricing in a modest risk of slippage into November.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
交易量
$201,071结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETRecent Reuters reporting has shifted trader focus toward an October 2026 Anthropic IPO, with the company now expected to file its public S-1 prospectus in late September and begin marketing shares in mid-October at the earliest. This timeline aligns with finalizing a $15 billion credit facility, ongoing SEC review of the June 2026 confidential filing, and discussions for Nvidia as a potential anchor investor in a deal that could target a $2 trillion valuation and raise up to $100 billion. Strong revenue momentum—run-rate exceeding $65 billion by late July—supports the compressed window ahead of U.S. midterms, though the schedule remains subject to market conditions and regulatory pacing. Market-implied odds reflect this momentum while pricing in a modest risk of slippage into November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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