Meta’s Watermelon model, the internal codename for Meta Superintelligence Labs’ next frontier large language model after Muse Spark (Avocado), remains in training as of early September 2026 with an October target reported in August coverage. Internal July updates from chief Alexandr Wang highlighted GPT-5.5 parity on unspecified benchmarks achieved via roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, backed by Meta’s $125–145 billion infrastructure spend. Traders are watching for independent verification against open benchmarks like SWE-Bench, any public release of the model or a confirmed successor powering the Hatch agent platform, and slippage risks amid rapid iteration from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and Anthropic releases. A September roadmap mention of “bigger models” alongside Muse Spark 1.3 provides additional context for near-term expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,666 交易量
2026-09-30
9 月 30 日
5%
10 月 31 日
74%
11月30日
93%
$12,666 交易量
9 月 30 日
$3,455 交易量
5%
10 月 31 日
$6,452 交易量
74%
11月30日
$2,759 交易量
93%
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s Watermelon model, the internal codename for Meta Superintelligence Labs’ next frontier large language model after Muse Spark (Avocado), remains in training as of early September 2026 with an October target reported in August coverage. Internal July updates from chief Alexandr Wang highlighted GPT-5.5 parity on unspecified benchmarks achieved via roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, backed by Meta’s $125–145 billion infrastructure spend. Traders are watching for independent verification against open benchmarks like SWE-Bench, any public release of the model or a confirmed successor powering the Hatch agent platform, and slippage risks amid rapid iteration from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and Anthropic releases. A September roadmap mention of “bigger models” alongside Muse Spark 1.3 provides additional context for near-term expectations.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
交易量
$12,666结束日期
2026-11-30市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETOn September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s Watermelon model, the internal codename for Meta Superintelligence Labs’ next frontier large language model after Muse Spark (Avocado), remains in training as of early September 2026 with an October target reported in August coverage. Internal July updates from chief Alexandr Wang highlighted GPT-5.5 parity on unspecified benchmarks achieved via roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, backed by Meta’s $125–145 billion infrastructure spend. Traders are watching for independent verification against open benchmarks like SWE-Bench, any public release of the model or a confirmed successor powering the Hatch agent platform, and slippage risks amid rapid iteration from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and Anthropic releases. A September roadmap mention of “bigger models” alongside Muse Spark 1.3 provides additional context for near-term expectations.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$12,666结束日期
2026-11-30市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETMeta’s Watermelon model, the internal codename for Meta Superintelligence Labs’ next frontier large language model after Muse Spark (Avocado), remains in training as of early September 2026 with an October target reported in August coverage. Internal July updates from chief Alexandr Wang highlighted GPT-5.5 parity on unspecified benchmarks achieved via roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, backed by Meta’s $125–145 billion infrastructure spend. Traders are watching for independent verification against open benchmarks like SWE-Bench, any public release of the model or a confirmed successor powering the Hatch agent platform, and slippage risks amid rapid iteration from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and Anthropic releases. A September roadmap mention of “bigger models” alongside Muse Spark 1.3 provides additional context for near-term expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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