Google’s next flagship Gemini Pro model, expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target slipped amid internal performance shortfalls on coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. Traders are watching continued monthly Flash iterations—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—while the Pro variant stays in partner testing with no firm public rollout date. Google has begun training its more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, signaling resources may stay split between polishing 3.5 Pro and advancing the next generation. Key near-term catalysts include potential surprise releases before November, Alphabet earnings commentary, and any confirmed API or app availability that would resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,266,619 交易量
2026-10-31
September 15
3%
September 30
10%
October 31
59%
10 月 15 日
25%
$1,266,619 交易量
September 15
$12,195 交易量
3%
September 30
$81,195 交易量
10%
October 31
$14,302 交易量
59%
10 月 15 日
$2,843 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s next flagship Gemini Pro model, expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target slipped amid internal performance shortfalls on coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. Traders are watching continued monthly Flash iterations—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—while the Pro variant stays in partner testing with no firm public rollout date. Google has begun training its more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, signaling resources may stay split between polishing 3.5 Pro and advancing the next generation. Key near-term catalysts include potential surprise releases before November, Alphabet earnings commentary, and any confirmed API or app availability that would resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,266,619结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s next flagship Gemini Pro model, expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target slipped amid internal performance shortfalls on coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. Traders are watching continued monthly Flash iterations—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—while the Pro variant stays in partner testing with no firm public rollout date. Google has begun training its more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, signaling resources may stay split between polishing 3.5 Pro and advancing the next generation. Key near-term catalysts include potential surprise releases before November, Alphabet earnings commentary, and any confirmed API or app availability that would resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,266,619结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETGoogle’s next flagship Gemini Pro model, expected to be 3.5 Pro, remains delayed after its May 2026 I/O tease and June target slipped amid internal performance shortfalls on coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. Traders are watching continued monthly Flash iterations—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September—while the Pro variant stays in partner testing with no firm public rollout date. Google has begun training its more ambitious Gemini 4 frontier model, signaling resources may stay split between polishing 3.5 Pro and advancing the next generation. Key near-term catalysts include potential surprise releases before November, Alphabet earnings commentary, and any confirmed API or app availability that would resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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