Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves’ endorsement and strong support across the district’s rural counties. The open seat in a reliably Republican-leaning area, where GOP candidates have long held comfortable margins, underpins trader consensus around Stigall’s commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Democrat Josh Smead. Smead won his party’s primary with 48 percent but faces structural headwinds in a district that favors Republican turnout and messaging on agriculture, gun rights, and limited regulation. A late scandal, sharp shift in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited scope for such movement before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,095 交易量
$43,095 交易量
2026-11-02
克里斯·斯蒂格尔（共和党）
95%
乔什·斯米德（民主党）
6%
$43,095 交易量
$43,095 交易量
2026-11-02
克里斯·斯蒂格尔（共和党）
$27,455 交易量
95%
乔什·斯米德（民主党）
$15,640 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves’ endorsement and strong support across the district’s rural counties. The open seat in a reliably Republican-leaning area, where GOP candidates have long held comfortable margins, underpins trader consensus around Stigall’s commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Democrat Josh Smead. Smead won his party’s primary with 48 percent but faces structural headwinds in a district that favors Republican turnout and messaging on agriculture, gun rights, and limited regulation. A late scandal, sharp shift in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited scope for such movement before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$43,095结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves’ endorsement and strong support across the district’s rural counties. The open seat in a reliably Republican-leaning area, where GOP candidates have long held comfortable margins, underpins trader consensus around Stigall’s commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Democrat Josh Smead. Smead won his party’s primary with 48 percent but faces structural headwinds in a district that favors Republican turnout and messaging on agriculture, gun rights, and limited regulation. A late scandal, sharp shift in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited scope for such movement before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,095结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETChris Stigall secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by retiring incumbent Sam Graves’ endorsement and strong support across the district’s rural counties. The open seat in a reliably Republican-leaning area, where GOP candidates have long held comfortable margins, underpins trader consensus around Stigall’s commanding position heading into the November 3 general election against Democrat Josh Smead. Smead won his party’s primary with 48 percent but faces structural headwinds in a district that favors Republican turnout and messaging on agriculture, gun rights, and limited regulation. A late scandal, sharp shift in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district suggest limited scope for such movement before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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