Incumbent Republican Mark Alford’s strong position in the Missouri 4th District race stems from the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Alford secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a crowded field with roughly 30 percent. Alford’s substantial fundraising edge and alignment with state Republican priorities have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic shift would be required to narrow the gap significantly under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$50,168 交易量
$50,168 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·奥尔福德（共和党）
93%
乔丹·赫雷拉（民主党）
8%
$50,168 交易量
$50,168 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·奥尔福德（共和党）
$32,792 交易量
93%
乔丹·赫雷拉（民主党）
$17,376 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford’s strong position in the Missouri 4th District race stems from the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Alford secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a crowded field with roughly 30 percent. Alford’s substantial fundraising edge and alignment with state Republican priorities have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic shift would be required to narrow the gap significantly under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$50,168结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford’s strong position in the Missouri 4th District race stems from the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Alford secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a crowded field with roughly 30 percent. Alford’s substantial fundraising edge and alignment with state Republican priorities have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic shift would be required to narrow the gap significantly under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$50,168结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Mark Alford’s strong position in the Missouri 4th District race stems from the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins exceeding 40 points. Alford secured his party’s nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a crowded field with roughly 30 percent. Alford’s substantial fundraising edge and alignment with state Republican priorities have reinforced trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large national Democratic shift would be required to narrow the gap significantly under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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