Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s underlying Republican lean and his long tenure since 2011. The district’s partisan baseline, where Republicans have carried recent presidential and House contests by mid-single digits, supports this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic state Senator Sean McCann has narrowed the gap through strong early fundraising—outraising Huizenga by hundreds of thousands in the first quarter—and consistent campaigning on affordability, healthcare costs, and ethics reforms aimed at the incumbent’s business ties. Race raters rate the contest Lean Republican, and both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries comfortably, leaving limited time for major shifts before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
比尔·惠曾加（共和党）
56%
肖恩·麦凯恩（民主党）
42%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
比尔·惠曾加（共和党）
$3,388 交易量
56%
肖恩·麦凯恩（民主党）
$4,437 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s underlying Republican lean and his long tenure since 2011. The district’s partisan baseline, where Republicans have carried recent presidential and House contests by mid-single digits, supports this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic state Senator Sean McCann has narrowed the gap through strong early fundraising—outraising Huizenga by hundreds of thousands in the first quarter—and consistent campaigning on affordability, healthcare costs, and ethics reforms aimed at the incumbent’s business ties. Race raters rate the contest Lean Republican, and both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries comfortably, leaving limited time for major shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$7,825结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s underlying Republican lean and his long tenure since 2011. The district’s partisan baseline, where Republicans have carried recent presidential and House contests by mid-single digits, supports this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic state Senator Sean McCann has narrowed the gap through strong early fundraising—outraising Huizenga by hundreds of thousands in the first quarter—and consistent campaigning on affordability, healthcare costs, and ethics reforms aimed at the incumbent’s business ties. Race raters rate the contest Lean Republican, and both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries comfortably, leaving limited time for major shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,825结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETIncumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s underlying Republican lean and his long tenure since 2011. The district’s partisan baseline, where Republicans have carried recent presidential and House contests by mid-single digits, supports this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic state Senator Sean McCann has narrowed the gap through strong early fundraising—outraising Huizenga by hundreds of thousands in the first quarter—and consistent campaigning on affordability, healthcare costs, and ethics reforms aimed at the incumbent’s business ties. Race raters rate the contest Lean Republican, and both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries comfortably, leaving limited time for major shifts before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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