Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The New York 14th encompasses heavily Democratic areas of the Bronx and Queens with a long record of supporting Democratic House candidates by wide margins. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Current trader consensus aligns with these factors and historical patterns in the district. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$55,230 交易量
$55,230 交易量
2026-11-02
亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯（民主党）
96%
迪亚曼特·海塞纳伊（共和党）
4%
$55,230 交易量
$55,230 交易量
2026-11-02
亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯（民主党）
$30,235 交易量
96%
迪亚曼特·海塞纳伊（共和党）
$24,996 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The New York 14th encompasses heavily Democratic areas of the Bronx and Queens with a long record of supporting Democratic House candidates by wide margins. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Current trader consensus aligns with these factors and historical patterns in the district. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$55,230结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The New York 14th encompasses heavily Democratic areas of the Bronx and Queens with a long record of supporting Democratic House candidates by wide margins. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Current trader consensus aligns with these factors and historical patterns in the district. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$55,230结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The New York 14th encompasses heavily Democratic areas of the Bronx and Queens with a long record of supporting Democratic House candidates by wide margins. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Current trader consensus aligns with these factors and historical patterns in the district. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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