Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in the MI-03 House race as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting shift toward Democrats, her 2022 flip and 2024 reelection, and strong primary performance where she faced no opposition. Terri DeBoer, the Republican nominee and former meteorologist who won her August 2026 primary decisively, has highlighted contrasts on issues like immigration and education while positioning herself as an outsider aligned with West Michigan values, yet faces structural headwinds including lower fundraising and historical Republican challenges in the reconfigured district. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Likely or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on Scholten’s position. A major national political realignment, significant scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though such shifts remain low-probability given current fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,132 交易量
$21,132 交易量
2026-11-03
希拉里·斯科尔顿（民主党）
94%
特丽·德博尔（共和党）
6%
$21,132 交易量
$21,132 交易量
2026-11-03
希拉里·斯科尔顿（民主党）
$16,430 交易量
94%
特丽·德博尔（共和党）
$4,702 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in the MI-03 House race as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting shift toward Democrats, her 2022 flip and 2024 reelection, and strong primary performance where she faced no opposition. Terri DeBoer, the Republican nominee and former meteorologist who won her August 2026 primary decisively, has highlighted contrasts on issues like immigration and education while positioning herself as an outsider aligned with West Michigan values, yet faces structural headwinds including lower fundraising and historical Republican challenges in the reconfigured district. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Likely or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on Scholten’s position. A major national political realignment, significant scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though such shifts remain low-probability given current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
交易量
$21,132结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in the MI-03 House race as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting shift toward Democrats, her 2022 flip and 2024 reelection, and strong primary performance where she faced no opposition. Terri DeBoer, the Republican nominee and former meteorologist who won her August 2026 primary decisively, has highlighted contrasts on issues like immigration and education while positioning herself as an outsider aligned with West Michigan values, yet faces structural headwinds including lower fundraising and historical Republican challenges in the reconfigured district. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Likely or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on Scholten’s position. A major national political realignment, significant scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though such shifts remain low-probability given current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,132结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETHillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in the MI-03 House race as the Democratic incumbent, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting shift toward Democrats, her 2022 flip and 2024 reelection, and strong primary performance where she faced no opposition. Terri DeBoer, the Republican nominee and former meteorologist who won her August 2026 primary decisively, has highlighted contrasts on issues like immigration and education while positioning herself as an outsider aligned with West Michigan values, yet faces structural headwinds including lower fundraising and historical Republican challenges in the reconfigured district. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest Likely or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on Scholten’s position. A major national political realignment, significant scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though such shifts remain low-probability given current fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题