Debbie Dingell's incumbency in Michigan's 6th congressional district drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring her reelection, as the seat encompasses liberal-leaning Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties that delivered her 62% in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with projected margins near 30 points, reinforced by her unopposed August 2026 primary win and the absence of competitive Republican challengers beyond Heather Smiley. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics, suburban turnout, or any late-cycle events involving the incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the outcome, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$51,056 交易量
$51,056 交易量
2026-11-02
Debbie Dingell（民主党）
96%
希瑟·斯迈利（共和党）
<1%
$51,056 交易量
$51,056 交易量
2026-11-02
Debbie Dingell（民主党）
$24,038 交易量
96%
希瑟·斯迈利（共和党）
$27,018 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's incumbency in Michigan's 6th congressional district drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring her reelection, as the seat encompasses liberal-leaning Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties that delivered her 62% in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with projected margins near 30 points, reinforced by her unopposed August 2026 primary win and the absence of competitive Republican challengers beyond Heather Smiley. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics, suburban turnout, or any late-cycle events involving the incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the outcome, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$51,056结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's incumbency in Michigan's 6th congressional district drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring her reelection, as the seat encompasses liberal-leaning Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties that delivered her 62% in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with projected margins near 30 points, reinforced by her unopposed August 2026 primary win and the absence of competitive Republican challengers beyond Heather Smiley. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics, suburban turnout, or any late-cycle events involving the incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the outcome, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$51,056结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETDebbie Dingell's incumbency in Michigan's 6th congressional district drives the overwhelming trader consensus favoring her reelection, as the seat encompasses liberal-leaning Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties that delivered her 62% in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with projected margins near 30 points, reinforced by her unopposed August 2026 primary win and the absence of competitive Republican challengers beyond Heather Smiley. With the November 3 general election approaching, national midterm dynamics, suburban turnout, or any late-cycle events involving the incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the outcome, though no such shifts have materialized in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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