**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong today, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 27–31°C amid typical late-September subtropical conditions.** Light easterly to northeasterly winds, high humidity (70–95%), and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the recent daily range of 26–27°C. Historical September climatology shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current model runs and surface observations support stabilization near 27°C without a significant cool surge. The market-implied 88.5% probability on 27°C captures this alignment between forecast guidance and prevailing atmospheric stability, while lower-probability outcomes (25–26°C) would require stronger nocturnal clearing or a shift in steering flow not currently indicated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日香港最低气温？
9月21日香港最低气温？
27°C 89%
26°C 7%
25°C 5%
22°C或以下 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
89%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 89%
26°C 7%
25°C 5%
22°C或以下 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
$37 交易量
2%
23°C
$424 交易量
1%
24°C
$234 交易量
2%
25°C
$469 交易量
5%
26°C
$968 交易量
7%
27°C
$2,871 交易量
89%
28°C
$3,357 交易量
1%
29°C
$31 交易量
1%
30°C
$329 交易量
1%
31°C
$333 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$4 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong today, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 27–31°C amid typical late-September subtropical conditions.**
Light easterly to northeasterly winds, high humidity (70–95%), and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the recent daily range of 26–27°C. Historical September climatology shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current model runs and surface observations support stabilization near 27°C without a significant cool surge.
The market-implied 88.5% probability on 27°C captures this alignment between forecast guidance and prevailing atmospheric stability, while lower-probability outcomes (25–26°C) would require stronger nocturnal clearing or a shift in steering flow not currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$9,057结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong today, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 27–31°C amid typical late-September subtropical conditions.**
Light easterly to northeasterly winds, high humidity (70–95%), and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the recent daily range of 26–27°C. Historical September climatology shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current model runs and surface observations support stabilization near 27°C without a significant cool surge.
The market-implied 88.5% probability on 27°C captures this alignment between forecast guidance and prevailing atmospheric stability, while lower-probability outcomes (25–26°C) would require stronger nocturnal clearing or a shift in steering flow not currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,057结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong today, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 27–31°C amid typical late-September subtropical conditions.** Light easterly to northeasterly winds, high humidity (70–95%), and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the recent daily range of 26–27°C. Historical September climatology shows average minima around 25–26°C, but current model runs and surface observations support stabilization near 27°C without a significant cool surge. The market-implied 88.5% probability on 27°C captures this alignment between forecast guidance and prevailing atmospheric stability, while lower-probability outcomes (25–26°C) would require stronger nocturnal clearing or a shift in steering flow not currently indicated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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