Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under predominantly clear skies and light winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This value aligns with mid-September climatological normals near 26°C for the urban observatory site and reflects stable subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and moisture. With the date now past and data released, trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability rests on verified measurements rather than forecasts. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternative station reading outside the standard Hong Kong Observatory criteria, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the consistency across monitoring networks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日香港最低气温？
9月18日香港最低气温？
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,520 交易量
$21,520 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,520 交易量
$21,520 交易量
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
$81 交易量
否
22°C
$38 交易量
否
23°C
$33 交易量
否
24°C
$268 交易量
否
25°C
$1,216 交易量
否
26°C
$8,240 交易量
否
27°C
$6,555 交易量
是
28°C
$2,662 交易量
否
29°C
$53 交易量
否
30°C
$1,187 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$1,187 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under predominantly clear skies and light winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This value aligns with mid-September climatological normals near 26°C for the urban observatory site and reflects stable subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and moisture. With the date now past and data released, trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability rests on verified measurements rather than forecasts. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternative station reading outside the standard Hong Kong Observatory criteria, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the consistency across monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$21,520结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under predominantly clear skies and light winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This value aligns with mid-September climatological normals near 26°C for the urban observatory site and reflects stable subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and moisture. With the date now past and data released, trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability rests on verified measurements rather than forecasts. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternative station reading outside the standard Hong Kong Observatory criteria, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the consistency across monitoring networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$21,520结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 27°C on September 18, 2026, under predominantly clear skies and light winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This value aligns with mid-September climatological normals near 26°C for the urban observatory site and reflects stable subtropical high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and moisture. With the date now past and data released, trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability rests on verified measurements rather than forecasts. A realistic shift would require an official data revision or resolution based on an alternative station reading outside the standard Hong Kong Observatory criteria, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the consistency across monitoring networks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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