Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts position San Francisco’s September 22 high near 66–70 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on the 68–69 °F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to limit afternoon warming despite clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with the city’s September climatology of 70.6 °F average highs. Overnight lows in the mid-50s and light southwest winds further constrain daytime maxima. Model spreads remain modest, with most guidance clustering in the upper 60s; any late-day clearing or reduced stratus could push readings toward 70–71 °F, while thicker fog would favor the 66–67 °F range. Final observations from downtown and airport stations will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日旧金山气温最高？
9月22日旧金山气温最高？
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
7%
74-75华氏度
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80华氏度或更高
<1%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
61°F或以下
$342 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$269 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$431 交易量
12%
66-67°F
$489 交易量
25%
68-69°F
$548 交易量
39%
70-71°F
$489 交易量
20%
72-73°F
$236 交易量
7%
74-75华氏度
$44 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$4 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$99 交易量
<1%
80华氏度或更高
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts position San Francisco’s September 22 high near 66–70 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on the 68–69 °F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to limit afternoon warming despite clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with the city’s September climatology of 70.6 °F average highs. Overnight lows in the mid-50s and light southwest winds further constrain daytime maxima. Model spreads remain modest, with most guidance clustering in the upper 60s; any late-day clearing or reduced stratus could push readings toward 70–71 °F, while thicker fog would favor the 66–67 °F range. Final observations from downtown and airport stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,045结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts position San Francisco’s September 22 high near 66–70 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on the 68–69 °F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to limit afternoon warming despite clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with the city’s September climatology of 70.6 °F average highs. Overnight lows in the mid-50s and light southwest winds further constrain daytime maxima. Model spreads remain modest, with most guidance clustering in the upper 60s; any late-day clearing or reduced stratus could push readings toward 70–71 °F, while thicker fog would favor the 66–67 °F range. Final observations from downtown and airport stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,045结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts position San Francisco’s September 22 high near 66–70 °F, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on the 68–69 °F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to limit afternoon warming despite clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with the city’s September climatology of 70.6 °F average highs. Overnight lows in the mid-50s and light southwest winds further constrain daytime maxima. Model spreads remain modest, with most guidance clustering in the upper 60s; any late-day clearing or reduced stratus could push readings toward 70–71 °F, while thicker fog would favor the 66–67 °F range. Final observations from downtown and airport stations will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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