**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日香港气温最高？
9月20日香港气温最高？
33℃ 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$107,179 交易量
$107,179 交易量
2026-09-20
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33℃
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或更高
否
33℃ 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$107,179 交易量
$107,179 交易量
2026-09-20
26°C或以下
$451 交易量
否
27°C
$513 交易量
否
28°C
$1,409 交易量
否
29°C
$1,485 交易量
否
30°C
$11,886 交易量
否
31°C
$18,147 交易量
否
32°C
$20,365 交易量
否
33℃
$26,621 交易量
是
34°C
$20,115 交易量
否
35°C
$4,096 交易量
否
36°C或更高
$2,092 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$107,179结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$107,179结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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