Current observational data from Argentine weather stations indicate that temperatures in Buenos Aires reached a daily maximum of 25°C on September 20, aligning with spring climatology where highs typically range 18–24°C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional shows stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, that capped readings at this level without further intensification. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as traders incorporate verified station reports and short-term model runs with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require either an unforecasted late-day surge from shifting wind patterns or post hoc data revisions from the primary monitoring network, though both remain low-probability given the advanced stage of the diurnal cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$41,924 交易量
$41,924 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$41,924 交易量
$41,924 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current observational data from Argentine weather stations indicate that temperatures in Buenos Aires reached a daily maximum of 25°C on September 20, aligning with spring climatology where highs typically range 18–24°C. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional shows stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating, that capped readings at this level without further intensification. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as traders incorporate verified station reports and short-term model runs with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require either an unforecasted late-day surge from shifting wind patterns or post hoc data revisions from the primary monitoring network, though both remain low-probability given the advanced stage of the diurnal cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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