Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 22, driven by the advancing northeast monsoon that is moderating overnight conditions while maintaining high humidity and scattered showers. Light easterly winds and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low from dropping below typical late-September values around 26–28°C. Model runs show limited spread, with no strong cold advection expected before dawn, supporting the market-implied 51.5% probability on 27°C as the leading outcome. Updated HKO guidance and the next model cycle will provide the key data release ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日香港最低气温？
9月22日香港最低气温？
27°C 54%
28°C 26%
26°C 16%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
54%
28°C
26%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 26%
26°C 16%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
22°C或以下
$60 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
7%
24°C
$209 交易量
10%
25°C
$643 交易量
6%
26°C
$1,304 交易量
16%
27°C
$1,894 交易量
54%
28°C
$2,010 交易量
26%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,052 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,165 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$1,165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 22, driven by the advancing northeast monsoon that is moderating overnight conditions while maintaining high humidity and scattered showers. Light easterly winds and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low from dropping below typical late-September values around 26–28°C. Model runs show limited spread, with no strong cold advection expected before dawn, supporting the market-implied 51.5% probability on 27°C as the leading outcome. Updated HKO guidance and the next model cycle will provide the key data release ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$9,502结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 22, driven by the advancing northeast monsoon that is moderating overnight conditions while maintaining high humidity and scattered showers. Light easterly winds and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low from dropping below typical late-September values around 26–28°C. Model runs show limited spread, with no strong cold advection expected before dawn, supporting the market-implied 51.5% probability on 27°C as the leading outcome. Updated HKO guidance and the next model cycle will provide the key data release ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,502结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 22, driven by the advancing northeast monsoon that is moderating overnight conditions while maintaining high humidity and scattered showers. Light easterly winds and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low from dropping below typical late-September values around 26–28°C. Model runs show limited spread, with no strong cold advection expected before dawn, supporting the market-implied 51.5% probability on 27°C as the leading outcome. Updated HKO guidance and the next model cycle will provide the key data release ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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