Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race with 28% while Sergio Meneguelli (PSD) sits at 12% and four candidates—Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Evair de Melo (Republicanos)—tie at 9% each within the margin of error. This fragmentation for second place stems from voters selecting two names, elevated undecided and blank shares, and comparable name recognition among the pack without decisive late momentum shifts or major endorsements. Trader consensus prices reflect the resulting equilibrium, where small polling movements, coalition signals, or October debates could still reorder the contenders before the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于塞尔吉奥·梅内格利 37%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托 26.6%
罗丝·德·弗雷塔斯 25.0%
玛吉尼亚·马尔塔 11.7%
$38,114 交易量
$38,114 交易量
2026-10-04
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利
37%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托
27%
罗丝·德·弗雷塔斯
25%
玛吉尼亚·马尔塔
12%
雷纳托·卡萨格兰德
4%
Evair de Melo
<1%
马科斯·多·瓦尔
<1%
卡莱加里
<1%
莱昂纳多·蒙贾尔迪姆
<1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
法比安教授
<1%
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利 37%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托 26.6%
罗丝·德·弗雷塔斯 25.0%
玛吉尼亚·马尔塔 11.7%
$38,114 交易量
$38,114 交易量
2026-10-04
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利
$20,841 交易量
37%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托
$6,935 交易量
27%
罗丝·德·弗雷塔斯
$4,459 交易量
25%
玛吉尼亚·马尔塔
$1,188 交易量
12%
雷纳托·卡萨格兰德
$971 交易量
4%
Evair de Melo
$1,026 交易量
<1%
马科斯·多·瓦尔
$527 交易量
<1%
卡莱加里
$731 交易量
<1%
莱昂纳多·蒙贾尔迪姆
$599 交易量
<1%
Rodney Miranda
$414 交易量
<1%
法比安教授
$422 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race with 28% while Sergio Meneguelli (PSD) sits at 12% and four candidates—Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Evair de Melo (Republicanos)—tie at 9% each within the margin of error. This fragmentation for second place stems from voters selecting two names, elevated undecided and blank shares, and comparable name recognition among the pack without decisive late momentum shifts or major endorsements. Trader consensus prices reflect the resulting equilibrium, where small polling movements, coalition signals, or October debates could still reorder the contenders before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
交易量
$38,114结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race with 28% while Sergio Meneguelli (PSD) sits at 12% and four candidates—Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Evair de Melo (Republicanos)—tie at 9% each within the margin of error. This fragmentation for second place stems from voters selecting two names, elevated undecided and blank shares, and comparable name recognition among the pack without decisive late momentum shifts or major endorsements. Trader consensus prices reflect the resulting equilibrium, where small polling movements, coalition signals, or October debates could still reorder the contenders before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$38,114结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETRecent Real Time Big Data polling shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race with 28% while Sergio Meneguelli (PSD) sits at 12% and four candidates—Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Evair de Melo (Republicanos)—tie at 9% each within the margin of error. This fragmentation for second place stems from voters selecting two names, elevated undecided and blank shares, and comparable name recognition among the pack without decisive late momentum shifts or major endorsements. Trader consensus prices reflect the resulting equilibrium, where small polling movements, coalition signals, or October debates could still reorder the contenders before the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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