Traders see an 83% implied probability for Anthropic reaching a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion dollars at IPO, driven by its rapid scaling of advanced large language models such as Claude and sustained high valuations in private funding rounds. Strategic partnerships with major cloud providers have expanded access and revenue potential, while competitive positioning against other AI labs reinforces expectations of strong user adoption and benchmarks. The low odds on no IPO by late 2027 reflect consistent signals of preparation, though regulatory developments around artificial intelligence and typical product delays could still alter outcomes. Recent model releases and ecosystem growth continue to support this consensus among traders with capital at risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.8T+ 83%
1.5–1.8T 9.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.5%
1.2–1.5T 3.0%
$460,116 交易量
$460,116 交易量
2027-12-31
<0.6T
2%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
9%
1.8T+
83%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
1.8T+ 83%
1.5–1.8T 9.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.5%
1.2–1.5T 3.0%
$460,116 交易量
$460,116 交易量
2027-12-31
<0.6T
$22,627 交易量
2%
0.6–0.9T
$27,217 交易量
<1%
0.9–1.2T
$27,540 交易量
1%
1.2–1.5T
$35,271 交易量
3%
1.5–1.8T
$54,383 交易量
9%
1.8T+
$238,671 交易量
83%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$54,407 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders see an 83% implied probability for Anthropic reaching a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion dollars at IPO, driven by its rapid scaling of advanced large language models such as Claude and sustained high valuations in private funding rounds. Strategic partnerships with major cloud providers have expanded access and revenue potential, while competitive positioning against other AI labs reinforces expectations of strong user adoption and benchmarks. The low odds on no IPO by late 2027 reflect consistent signals of preparation, though regulatory developments around artificial intelligence and typical product delays could still alter outcomes. Recent model releases and ecosystem growth continue to support this consensus among traders with capital at risk.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
交易量
$460,116结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders see an 83% implied probability for Anthropic reaching a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion dollars at IPO, driven by its rapid scaling of advanced large language models such as Claude and sustained high valuations in private funding rounds. Strategic partnerships with major cloud providers have expanded access and revenue potential, while competitive positioning against other AI labs reinforces expectations of strong user adoption and benchmarks. The low odds on no IPO by late 2027 reflect consistent signals of preparation, though regulatory developments around artificial intelligence and typical product delays could still alter outcomes. Recent model releases and ecosystem growth continue to support this consensus among traders with capital at risk.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$460,116结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETTraders see an 83% implied probability for Anthropic reaching a closing market cap above 1.8 trillion dollars at IPO, driven by its rapid scaling of advanced large language models such as Claude and sustained high valuations in private funding rounds. Strategic partnerships with major cloud providers have expanded access and revenue potential, while competitive positioning against other AI labs reinforces expectations of strong user adoption and benchmarks. The low odds on no IPO by late 2027 reflect consistent signals of preparation, though regulatory developments around artificial intelligence and typical product delays could still alter outcomes. Recent model releases and ecosystem growth continue to support this consensus among traders with capital at risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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