OpenAI's September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has anchored trader consensus around its 91.5% implied probability, driven by major gains in precise, region-specific editing that alters only requested elements while preserving subjects, lighting, textures, and multi-turn consistency. The update also cut generation latency by up to 50%, added sketch-based references, and improved fidelity for complex scenes—capabilities that quickly elevated OpenAI models to the top of image-edit leaderboards. Google and other labs trail far behind on current benchmarks, though a strong competing release or benchmark shift from rivals before end of October could still narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於OpenAI 93%
Google 3.8%
騰訊 3.4%
Black Forest Labs 1.8%
$15,815 交易量
$15,815 交易量
2026-10-31
OpenAI
93%
4%
騰訊
3%
Black Forest Labs
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Reve
<1%
微軟AI
<1%
Meta
<1%
字節跳動
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
StepFun
<1%
OpenAI 93%
Google 3.8%
騰訊 3.4%
Black Forest Labs 1.8%
$15,815 交易量
$15,815 交易量
2026-10-31
OpenAI
$9,461 交易量
93%
$742 交易量
4%
騰訊
$1,007 交易量
3%
Black Forest Labs
$600 交易量
2%
SpaceXAI
$392 交易量
<1%
Reve
$414 交易量
<1%
微軟AI
$428 交易量
<1%
Meta
$389 交易量
<1%
字節跳動
$405 交易量
<1%
Luma AI
$407 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴
$367 交易量
<1%
KlingAI
$345 交易量
<1%
Pruna
$492 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$364 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has anchored trader consensus around its 91.5% implied probability, driven by major gains in precise, region-specific editing that alters only requested elements while preserving subjects, lighting, textures, and multi-turn consistency. The update also cut generation latency by up to 50%, added sketch-based references, and improved fidelity for complex scenes—capabilities that quickly elevated OpenAI models to the top of image-edit leaderboards. Google and other labs trail far behind on current benchmarks, though a strong competing release or benchmark shift from rivals before end of October could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
交易量
$15,815結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has anchored trader consensus around its 91.5% implied probability, driven by major gains in precise, region-specific editing that alters only requested elements while preserving subjects, lighting, textures, and multi-turn consistency. The update also cut generation latency by up to 50%, added sketch-based references, and improved fidelity for complex scenes—capabilities that quickly elevated OpenAI models to the top of image-edit leaderboards. Google and other labs trail far behind on current benchmarks, though a strong competing release or benchmark shift from rivals before end of October could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$15,815結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETOpenAI's September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has anchored trader consensus around its 91.5% implied probability, driven by major gains in precise, region-specific editing that alters only requested elements while preserving subjects, lighting, textures, and multi-turn consistency. The update also cut generation latency by up to 50%, added sketch-based references, and improved fidelity for complex scenes—capabilities that quickly elevated OpenAI models to the top of image-edit leaderboards. Google and other labs trail far behind on current benchmarks, though a strong competing release or benchmark shift from rivals before end of October could still narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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