Traders see Anthropic holding a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability for second place in the Code Arena WebDev category by end of November, reflecting its recent Claude model updates that demonstrated stronger performance on coding benchmarks and web development tasks relative to earlier releases. The field remains tightly contested, with multiple labs clustered near 50% and OpenAI at 32%, underscoring how incremental gains in large language model reasoning, tool-use accuracy, and agentic workflows can quickly shift positioning. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, third-party benchmark results, and developer adoption metrics, as even small improvements in handling complex web frameworks or debugging scenarios can alter market consensus before the November resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 53%
OpenAI 33%
Google 10%
阿里巴巴 4.1%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
Anthropic
53%
OpenAI
33%
10%
阿里巴巴
4%
Meta
4%
騰訊
4%
MiniMax
3%
Poolside
3%
ByteDance
3%
Z.ai
3%
DeepSeek
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
Mistral
2%
Moonshot
2%
小米
2%
Thinky
<1%
Anthropic 53%
OpenAI 33%
Google 10%
阿里巴巴 4.1%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
Anthropic
$1,621 交易量
53%
OpenAI
$1,958 交易量
33%
$492 交易量
10%
阿里巴巴
$114 交易量
4%
Meta
$209 交易量
4%
騰訊
$111 交易量
4%
MiniMax
$119 交易量
3%
Poolside
$107 交易量
3%
ByteDance
$212 交易量
3%
Z.ai
$107 交易量
3%
DeepSeek
$91 交易量
3%
SpaceXAI
$107 交易量
2%
Mistral
$265 交易量
2%
Moonshot
$108 交易量
2%
小米
$266 交易量
2%
Thinky
$117 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see Anthropic holding a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability for second place in the Code Arena WebDev category by end of November, reflecting its recent Claude model updates that demonstrated stronger performance on coding benchmarks and web development tasks relative to earlier releases. The field remains tightly contested, with multiple labs clustered near 50% and OpenAI at 32%, underscoring how incremental gains in large language model reasoning, tool-use accuracy, and agentic workflows can quickly shift positioning. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, third-party benchmark results, and developer adoption metrics, as even small improvements in handling complex web frameworks or debugging scenarios can alter market consensus before the November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
交易量
$6,005結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see Anthropic holding a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability for second place in the Code Arena WebDev category by end of November, reflecting its recent Claude model updates that demonstrated stronger performance on coding benchmarks and web development tasks relative to earlier releases. The field remains tightly contested, with multiple labs clustered near 50% and OpenAI at 32%, underscoring how incremental gains in large language model reasoning, tool-use accuracy, and agentic workflows can quickly shift positioning. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, third-party benchmark results, and developer adoption metrics, as even small improvements in handling complex web frameworks or debugging scenarios can alter market consensus before the November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$6,005結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETTraders see Anthropic holding a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability for second place in the Code Arena WebDev category by end of November, reflecting its recent Claude model updates that demonstrated stronger performance on coding benchmarks and web development tasks relative to earlier releases. The field remains tightly contested, with multiple labs clustered near 50% and OpenAI at 32%, underscoring how incremental gains in large language model reasoning, tool-use accuracy, and agentic workflows can quickly shift positioning. Key swing factors include upcoming model releases, third-party benchmark results, and developer adoption metrics, as even small improvements in handling complex web frameworks or debugging scenarios can alter market consensus before the November resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions