Anthropic’s rapid iteration cadence on its flagship Claude Opus series is the main driver of trader sentiment for the next release, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8—following earlier 2026 updates in February, April, and May. The company continues emphasizing efficiency gains, stronger coding and agentic performance on benchmarks like Frontier-Bench, and cost reductions relative to higher-tier models such as Fable 5, while facing competition from OpenAI and Google releases. Recent September 1 updates to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscore ongoing refinement across the lineup without a new Opus variant. Key near-term catalysts include any hints from Anthropic’s developer events or system cards on timelines for Opus 6 or equivalent, as historical patterns suggest another incremental or major update within one to two months absent regulatory or compute constraints.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$99,288 交易量
2026-09-30
9 月 30 日
68%
10月31日
98%
12月31日
99%
$99,288 交易量
9 月 30 日
$39,488 交易量
68%
10月31日
$13,267 交易量
98%
12月31日
$5,019 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration cadence on its flagship Claude Opus series is the main driver of trader sentiment for the next release, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8—following earlier 2026 updates in February, April, and May. The company continues emphasizing efficiency gains, stronger coding and agentic performance on benchmarks like Frontier-Bench, and cost reductions relative to higher-tier models such as Fable 5, while facing competition from OpenAI and Google releases. Recent September 1 updates to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscore ongoing refinement across the lineup without a new Opus variant. Key near-term catalysts include any hints from Anthropic’s developer events or system cards on timelines for Opus 6 or equivalent, as historical patterns suggest another incremental or major update within one to two months absent regulatory or compute constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
交易量
$99,288結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration cadence on its flagship Claude Opus series is the main driver of trader sentiment for the next release, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8—following earlier 2026 updates in February, April, and May. The company continues emphasizing efficiency gains, stronger coding and agentic performance on benchmarks like Frontier-Bench, and cost reductions relative to higher-tier models such as Fable 5, while facing competition from OpenAI and Google releases. Recent September 1 updates to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscore ongoing refinement across the lineup without a new Opus variant. Key near-term catalysts include any hints from Anthropic’s developer events or system cards on timelines for Opus 6 or equivalent, as historical patterns suggest another incremental or major update within one to two months absent regulatory or compute constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$99,288結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETAnthropic’s rapid iteration cadence on its flagship Claude Opus series is the main driver of trader sentiment for the next release, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8—following earlier 2026 updates in February, April, and May. The company continues emphasizing efficiency gains, stronger coding and agentic performance on benchmarks like Frontier-Bench, and cost reductions relative to higher-tier models such as Fable 5, while facing competition from OpenAI and Google releases. Recent September 1 updates to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscore ongoing refinement across the lineup without a new Opus variant. Key near-term catalysts include any hints from Anthropic’s developer events or system cards on timelines for Opus 6 or equivalent, as historical patterns suggest another incremental or major update within one to two months absent regulatory or compute constraints.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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