**Current observational data and forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 23°C in Wuhan on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market's 90% implied probability.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-100%, light northerly winds, and smoky haze, have limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Official hourly readings show temperatures holding at or above 23°C overnight, consistent with National Meteorological Center guidance and multiple ensemble forecasts. Historical September lows average near 21°C, but this day's stable air mass and lack of clear skies have prevented further drops. No major model revisions or frontal passages have altered the outlook, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the observed threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日武漢最低氣溫？
9月20日武漢最低氣溫？
23°C 99%
19°C 1.0%
20°C 1%
21°C 1.0%
$1,004 交易量
$1,004 交易量
2026-09-20
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
23°C 99%
19°C 1.0%
20°C 1%
21°C 1.0%
$1,004 交易量
$1,004 交易量
2026-09-20
18°C或以下
$31 交易量
否
19°C
$74 交易量
否
20°C
$73 交易量
否
21°C
$66 交易量
否
22°C
$304 交易量
否
23°C
$287 交易量
是
24°C
$21 交易量
否
25°C
$37 交易量
否
26°C
$37 交易量
否
27°C
$37 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$37 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 23°C in Wuhan on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market's 90% implied probability.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-100%, light northerly winds, and smoky haze, have limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Official hourly readings show temperatures holding at or above 23°C overnight, consistent with National Meteorological Center guidance and multiple ensemble forecasts. Historical September lows average near 21°C, but this day's stable air mass and lack of clear skies have prevented further drops. No major model revisions or frontal passages have altered the outlook, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the observed threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,004結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 23°C in Wuhan on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market's 90% implied probability.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-100%, light northerly winds, and smoky haze, have limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Official hourly readings show temperatures holding at or above 23°C overnight, consistent with National Meteorological Center guidance and multiple ensemble forecasts. Historical September lows average near 21°C, but this day's stable air mass and lack of clear skies have prevented further drops. No major model revisions or frontal passages have altered the outlook, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the observed threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,004結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current observational data and forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 23°C in Wuhan on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market's 90% implied probability.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-100%, light northerly winds, and smoky haze, have limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Official hourly readings show temperatures holding at or above 23°C overnight, consistent with National Meteorological Center guidance and multiple ensemble forecasts. Historical September lows average near 21°C, but this day's stable air mass and lack of clear skies have prevented further drops. No major model revisions or frontal passages have altered the outlook, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around the observed threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions