Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 22 point to a daily minimum near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain, producing closely matched market-implied odds between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity from recent frontal activity are suppressing daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low in the low-20s Celsius range. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows modest spread tied to precipitation timing and cloud thickness, with historical September baselines around 20–23°C providing limited additional constraint this close to the event. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations used for market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日武漢最低氣溫？
9月22日武漢最低氣溫？
17°C或以下 88%
27°C或以上 86%
21°C 44%
20°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
17°C或以下
88%
18°C
18%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
44%
22°C
20%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
13%
27°C或以上
86%
17°C或以下 88%
27°C或以上 86%
21°C 44%
20°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
88%
18°C
$0 交易量
18%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$10 交易量
44%
22°C
$0 交易量
20%
23°C
$0 交易量
38%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
13%
27°C或以上
$0 交易量
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 22 point to a daily minimum near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain, producing closely matched market-implied odds between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity from recent frontal activity are suppressing daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low in the low-20s Celsius range. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows modest spread tied to precipitation timing and cloud thickness, with historical September baselines around 20–23°C providing limited additional constraint this close to the event. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations used for market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 22 point to a daily minimum near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain, producing closely matched market-implied odds between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity from recent frontal activity are suppressing daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low in the low-20s Celsius range. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows modest spread tied to precipitation timing and cloud thickness, with historical September baselines around 20–23°C providing limited additional constraint this close to the event. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations used for market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 22 point to a daily minimum near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered rain, producing closely matched market-implied odds between sub-18°C and 27°C+ outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity from recent frontal activity are suppressing daytime heating while limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low in the low-20s Celsius range. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows modest spread tied to precipitation timing and cloud thickness, with historical September baselines around 20–23°C providing limited additional constraint this close to the event. Updated runs from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations used for market settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions