Current forecasts from regional models indicate a nighttime low near 22–23°C for Wuhan on September 19, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds under 5 km/h, and high humidity near 80% that limits radiative cooling. This subtropical autumn pattern, with no active cold front or significant precipitation, aligns closely with historical mid-September baselines of 21–23°C lows. Multiple model runs show minimal overnight drops below 22°C, supporting the strong market-implied odds for a 20°C floor while leaving room for slight revisions if dew-point or cloud-cover data shift before dawn. Updated observations from local stations will refine resolution thresholds in the final hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日武漢最低氣溫？
9月19日武漢最低氣溫？
20°C 99.5%
17°C或以下 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$2,181 交易量
$2,181 交易量
2026-09-19
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
20°C 99.5%
17°C或以下 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
19°C 1.0%
$2,181 交易量
$2,181 交易量
2026-09-19
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
18°C
$25 交易量
否
19°C
$73 交易量
否
20°C
$190 交易量
是
21°C
$147 交易量
否
22°C
$595 交易量
否
23°C
$37 交易量
否
24°C
$37 交易量
否
25°C
$31 交易量
否
26°C
$31 交易量
否
27°C或以上
$1,015 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate a nighttime low near 22–23°C for Wuhan on September 19, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds under 5 km/h, and high humidity near 80% that limits radiative cooling. This subtropical autumn pattern, with no active cold front or significant precipitation, aligns closely with historical mid-September baselines of 21–23°C lows. Multiple model runs show minimal overnight drops below 22°C, supporting the strong market-implied odds for a 20°C floor while leaving room for slight revisions if dew-point or cloud-cover data shift before dawn. Updated observations from local stations will refine resolution thresholds in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,181結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate a nighttime low near 22–23°C for Wuhan on September 19, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds under 5 km/h, and high humidity near 80% that limits radiative cooling. This subtropical autumn pattern, with no active cold front or significant precipitation, aligns closely with historical mid-September baselines of 21–23°C lows. Multiple model runs show minimal overnight drops below 22°C, supporting the strong market-implied odds for a 20°C floor while leaving room for slight revisions if dew-point or cloud-cover data shift before dawn. Updated observations from local stations will refine resolution thresholds in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,181結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from regional models indicate a nighttime low near 22–23°C for Wuhan on September 19, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds under 5 km/h, and high humidity near 80% that limits radiative cooling. This subtropical autumn pattern, with no active cold front or significant precipitation, aligns closely with historical mid-September baselines of 21–23°C lows. Multiple model runs show minimal overnight drops below 22°C, supporting the strong market-implied odds for a 20°C floor while leaving room for slight revisions if dew-point or cloud-cover data shift before dawn. Updated observations from local stations will refine resolution thresholds in the final hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions