Current observational data from Madrid weather stations confirm a daily high of 31°C on September 20, 2026, under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity that maximized daytime solar heating. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 25.5°C can spike several degrees during high-pressure dominance, and matches the historical precedent of 31.6°C recorded in 1945. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these verified measurements and forecast consistency from official sources, with minimal uncertainty in real-time monitoring. A shift would require post-event data revisions or station discrepancies, both rare for established networks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月20日馬德裏氣溫最高？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,913 交易量
$55,913 交易量
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$55,913 交易量
$55,913 交易量
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
$13,416 交易量
否
26°C
$1,350 交易量
否
27°C
$1,625 交易量
否
28°C
$890 交易量
否
29°C
$1,996 交易量
否
30°C
$8,396 交易量
否
31°C
$11,886 交易量
是
32°C
$10,893 交易量
否
33°C
$2,801 交易量
否
34°C
$1,487 交易量
否
35°C或更高
$1,173 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Madrid weather stations confirm a daily high of 31°C on September 20, 2026, under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity that maximized daytime solar heating. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 25.5°C can spike several degrees during high-pressure dominance, and matches the historical precedent of 31.6°C recorded in 1945. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these verified measurements and forecast consistency from official sources, with minimal uncertainty in real-time monitoring. A shift would require post-event data revisions or station discrepancies, both rare for established networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$55,913結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from Madrid weather stations confirm a daily high of 31°C on September 20, 2026, under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity that maximized daytime solar heating. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 25.5°C can spike several degrees during high-pressure dominance, and matches the historical precedent of 31.6°C recorded in 1945. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these verified measurements and forecast consistency from official sources, with minimal uncertainty in real-time monitoring. A shift would require post-event data revisions or station discrepancies, both rare for established networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,913結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current observational data from Madrid weather stations confirm a daily high of 31°C on September 20, 2026, under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity that maximized daytime solar heating. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 25.5°C can spike several degrees during high-pressure dominance, and matches the historical precedent of 31.6°C recorded in 1945. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these verified measurements and forecast consistency from official sources, with minimal uncertainty in real-time monitoring. A shift would require post-event data revisions or station discrepancies, both rare for established networks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions