Traders assign near-certainty to a 17°C high in Warsaw on September 11, 2026, because official meteorological observations from the Warszawa station recorded a daily maximum of 16.9°C under persistent overcast skies and light winds. This outcome aligns with a cool northeasterly flow suppressing daytime heating well below seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts had projected modest afternoon peaks near 18–21°C earlier in the week, but actual surface readings remained capped by cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or station-specific measurement revision reaching 20°C would shift the outcome, scenarios considered highly improbable given the completed observational record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日華沙的最高溫度？
9月11日華沙的最高溫度？
17°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$26,157 交易量
$26,157 交易量
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$26,157 交易量
$26,157 交易量
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
$210 交易量
否
15°C
$1,170 交易量
否
16°C
$7,108 交易量
否
17°C
$6,037 交易量
是
18°C
$4,863 交易量
否
19°C
$3,671 交易量
否
20°C
$1,535 交易量
否
21°C
$714 交易量
否
22°C
$381 交易量
否
23°C
$225 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$243 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 17°C high in Warsaw on September 11, 2026, because official meteorological observations from the Warszawa station recorded a daily maximum of 16.9°C under persistent overcast skies and light winds. This outcome aligns with a cool northeasterly flow suppressing daytime heating well below seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts had projected modest afternoon peaks near 18–21°C earlier in the week, but actual surface readings remained capped by cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or station-specific measurement revision reaching 20°C would shift the outcome, scenarios considered highly improbable given the completed observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$26,157結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 17°C high in Warsaw on September 11, 2026, because official meteorological observations from the Warszawa station recorded a daily maximum of 16.9°C under persistent overcast skies and light winds. This outcome aligns with a cool northeasterly flow suppressing daytime heating well below seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts had projected modest afternoon peaks near 18–21°C earlier in the week, but actual surface readings remained capped by cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or station-specific measurement revision reaching 20°C would shift the outcome, scenarios considered highly improbable given the completed observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,157結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign near-certainty to a 17°C high in Warsaw on September 11, 2026, because official meteorological observations from the Warszawa station recorded a daily maximum of 16.9°C under persistent overcast skies and light winds. This outcome aligns with a cool northeasterly flow suppressing daytime heating well below seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts had projected modest afternoon peaks near 18–21°C earlier in the week, but actual surface readings remained capped by cloud cover and stable boundary-layer conditions. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or station-specific measurement revision reaching 20°C would shift the outcome, scenarios considered highly improbable given the completed observational record.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions