Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Poland, with showers expected overnight into September 22. This pattern supports overnight minimum temperatures near 9–11°C in Warsaw, consistent with ensemble guidance showing a tight cluster around that range amid 70–90% cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10°C, providing context for the current setup. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized radiational cooling under clearing skies, with new model updates and observational data from the next 24 hours likely to refine the distribution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日華沙的最低溫度？
9月22日華沙的最低溫度？
14°C或更高 89%
4°C或以下 88%
9°C 40%
10°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
4°C或以下
88%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
33%
8°C
27%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
18%
12°C
39%
13°C
16%
14°C或更高
89%
14°C或更高 89%
4°C或以下 88%
9°C 40%
10°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
88%
5°C
$0 交易量
9%
6°C
$0 交易量
9%
7°C
$0 交易量
33%
8°C
$0 交易量
27%
9°C
$18 交易量
40%
10°C
$0 交易量
39%
11°C
$0 交易量
18%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
16%
14°C或更高
$0 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Poland, with showers expected overnight into September 22. This pattern supports overnight minimum temperatures near 9–11°C in Warsaw, consistent with ensemble guidance showing a tight cluster around that range amid 70–90% cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10°C, providing context for the current setup. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized radiational cooling under clearing skies, with new model updates and observational data from the next 24 hours likely to refine the distribution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$18結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Poland, with showers expected overnight into September 22. This pattern supports overnight minimum temperatures near 9–11°C in Warsaw, consistent with ensemble guidance showing a tight cluster around that range amid 70–90% cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10°C, providing context for the current setup. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized radiational cooling under clearing skies, with new model updates and observational data from the next 24 hours likely to refine the distribution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Poland, with showers expected overnight into September 22. This pattern supports overnight minimum temperatures near 9–11°C in Warsaw, consistent with ensemble guidance showing a tight cluster around that range amid 70–90% cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 10°C, providing context for the current setup. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized radiational cooling under clearing skies, with new model updates and observational data from the next 24 hours likely to refine the distribution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions